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Understanding the rent-liquidity co-movements in the real estate markets: Large sample evidence from German micro data

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  • Marcelo Cajias
  • Anna Heller

Abstract

"Hot" and "cold" market cycles on the real estate market are characterized by co-movements between rents and liquidity. Substantial deviations from these phases signal either overrented or underrented expectations by landlords or drastic changes in tenants' housing demand. Since a general market liquidity indicator is missing, this paper develops hedonic rental and liquidity indices to explore their co-movements along the real estate market cycle. Based on a Granger test the paper determines a lead-lag relation between rent and liquidity indices in order to explain the contemporaneous rent-liquidity causality. By making use of more than half million observations, the paper further explores the response of the indices in presence of exogenous variables from 2013 to 2017.

Suggested Citation

  • Marcelo Cajias & Anna Heller, 2018. "Understanding the rent-liquidity co-movements in the real estate markets: Large sample evidence from German micro data," ERES eres2018_54, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
  • Handle: RePEc:arz:wpaper:eres2018_54
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    File URL: https://eres.architexturez.net/doc/oai-eres-id-eres2018-54
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Granger causality; Hot and cold markets; Liquidity index; Rent-liquidity correlation; Rental index;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R3 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location

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