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Are Real Estate Cycle Lengths and Magnitudes Changing?

Author

Listed:
  • Glenn Mueller
  • Andrew Mueller

Abstract

Real Estate has been shown to be a cyclical asset class over the years thathas mostly followed economic cycles. This paper looks at the physical realestate cycle of demand and supply driving the occupancy cycle which drivesthe rent cycle. The length of historic cycles is compared and contrasted tothe magnitude of these cycles in different property types. This informationis then used to forecast future cycle lengths and magnitudes. Finally thereal estate financial cycle of property prices is compared to the physicalcycle as the two cycles determine total returns for investors.

Suggested Citation

  • Glenn Mueller & Andrew Mueller, 2016. "Are Real Estate Cycle Lengths and Magnitudes Changing?," ERES eres2016_346, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    • Handle: RePEc:arz:wpaper:eres2016_346
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    File URL: https://eres.architexturez.net/doc/oai-eres-id-eres2016-346
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • R3 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location

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