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Thinking - In and Outside - The Box: Asynchronous and Substitutable, Hyper-complexity and Predictability, Risk and Value, Sustainability and Permanence, Disruption and Destruction

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  • Stephen Roulac

Abstract

Most property practioners are innocent of the prospects for and consequences of innovation, presuming that real estate involvements somehow are exempts from the forces of Creative Destruction and Disruptive Innovation. Notably, two of the most successful IPOs in recent times, AirBnb and Uber have profound real estate implications. The former now accounts for an inventory of lodging facilities larger than any hotel brand. The latter's assault on car ownership could realign spatial patterns, property values, and regional economic status.How innovation threatens established interests and creates new opportunities, and thereby impacts the property markets, is the subject of this paper. The elements of the property process in the context of the supply chain and value chain are examined through the prism of change patterns over time, present vulnerabilities, future consequences and implications.The many facets of the property boxÑits creation, function, placement, productivity, financing, experience, operations, management, profitability, valueÑare considered in the context of the six primary technologies: transportation, information, communications, knowledge/meaning, energy/power, money, that determine the demand for property goods and services and shape our places. This research builds on numerous prior studies by the author of these phenomena, extending over four decades, and integrates the implications of such powerful themes as the Internet of Things, Predictive Analytics, Big Data, Personalization and Customization, SaaS Business Models, Place Competition, Gamification, Amplification, and more.

Suggested Citation

  • Stephen Roulac, 2015. "Thinking - In and Outside - The Box: Asynchronous and Substitutable, Hyper-complexity and Predictability, Risk and Value, Sustainability and Permanence, Disruption and Destruction," ERES eres2015_348, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
  • Handle: RePEc:arz:wpaper:eres2015_348
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    JEL classification:

    • R3 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location

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