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Minimum spanning tree filtering of correlations for varying time scales and size of fluctuations

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  • Jaroslaw Kwapien
  • Pawel Oswiecimka
  • Marcin Forczek
  • Stanislaw Drozdz

Abstract

Based on a recently proposed $q$-dependent detrended cross-correlation coefficient $\rho_q$, we generalize the concept of minimum spanning tree (MST) by introducing a family of $q$-dependent minimum spanning trees ($q$MST) that are selective to cross-correlations between different fluctuation amplitudes and different time scales. They inherit this ability directly from the coefficients $\rho_q$ that are processed here to construct a distance matrix. Conventional MST with detrending corresponds in this context to $q=2$. We apply the $q$MSTs to sample empirical data from the stock market and discuss the results. We show that the $q$MST graphs can complement $\rho_q$ in disentangling correlations that cannot be observed by the MST graphs based on $\rho_{\rm DCCA}$ and, therefore, they can be useful in many areas where the multivariate cross-correlations are of interest. We apply our method to data from the stock market and obtain more information about correlation structure of the data than by using $q=2$ only. We show that two sets of signals that differ from each other statistically can give comparable trees for $q=2$, while only by using the trees for $q \ne 2$ we become able to distinguish between these sets. We also show that a family of $q$MSTs for a range of $q$ express the diversity of correlations in a manner resembling the multifractal analysis, where one computes a spectrum of the generalized fractal dimensions, the generalized Hurst exponents, or the multifractal singularity spectra: the more diverse the correlations are, the more variable the tree topology is for different $q$s. Our analysis exhibits that the stocks belonging to the same or similar industrial sectors are correlated via the fluctuations of moderate amplitudes, while the largest fluctuations often happen to synchronize in those stocks that do not necessarily belong to the same industry.

Suggested Citation

  • Jaroslaw Kwapien & Pawel Oswiecimka & Marcin Forczek & Stanislaw Drozdz, 2016. "Minimum spanning tree filtering of correlations for varying time scales and size of fluctuations," Papers 1610.08416, arXiv.org, revised May 2017.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1610.08416
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    Cited by:

    1. Michel Alexandre & Kau^e Lopes de Moraes & Francisco Aparecido Rodrigues, 2021. "Risk-dependent centrality in the Brazilian stock market," Papers 2103.09059, arXiv.org.
    2. Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Pawe{l} O'swik{e}cimka & Tomasz Stanisz & Marcin Wk{a}torek, 2020. "Complexity in economic and social systems: cryptocurrency market at around COVID-19," Papers 2009.10030, arXiv.org.
    3. Marcin Wk{a}torek & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Ludovico Minati & Pawe{l} O'swik{e}cimka & Marek Stanuszek, 2020. "Multiscale characteristics of the emerging global cryptocurrency market," Papers 2010.15403, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
    4. Stanisław Drożdż & Ludovico Minati & Paweł Oświȩcimka & Marek Stanuszek & Marcin Wa̧torek, 2019. "Signatures of the Crypto-Currency Market Decoupling from the Forex," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-18, July.
    5. Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Marcin Wk{a}torek, 2023. "What is mature and what is still emerging in the cryptocurrency market?," Papers 2305.05751, arXiv.org.
    6. Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Ludovico Minati & Pawe{l} O'swik{e}cimka & Marek Stanuszek & Marcin Wk{a}torek, 2019. "Signatures of crypto-currency market decoupling from the Forex," Papers 1906.07834, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2019.
    7. Ge, Xinlei & Lin, Aijing, 2021. "Multiscale multifractal detrended partial cross-correlation analysis of Chinese and American stock markets," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    8. Xianbo Wu & Xiaofeng Hui, 2021. "Economic Dependence Relationship and the Coordinated & Sustainable Development among the Provinces in the Yellow River Economic Belt of China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-15, May.
    9. Sindhuja Ranganathan & Mikko Kivelä & Juho Kanniainen, 2018. "Dynamics of investor spanning trees around dot-com bubble," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(6), pages 1-14, June.
    10. Sindhuja Ranganathan & Mikko Kivela & Juho Kanniainen, 2017. "Dynamics of Investor Spanning Trees Around Dot-Com Bubble," Papers 1708.04430, arXiv.org.
    11. Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Marcin Wk{a}torek & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z, 2021. "Cryptocurrency Market Consolidation in 2020--2021," Papers 2112.06552, arXiv.org.

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