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A fully consistent, minimal model for non-linear market impact

Author

Listed:
  • Jonathan Donier
  • Julius Bonart
  • Iacopo Mastromatteo
  • Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Abstract

We propose a minimal theory of non-linear price impact based on a linear (latent) order book approximation, inspired by diffusion-reaction models and general arguments. Our framework allows one to compute the average price trajectory in the presence of a meta-order, that consistently generalizes previously proposed propagator models. We account for the universally observed square-root impact law, and predict non-trivial trajectories when trading is interrupted or reversed. We prove that our framework is free of price manipulation, and that prices can be made diffusive (albeit with a generic short-term mean-reverting contribution). Our model suggests that prices can be decomposed into a transient "mechanical" impact component and a permanent "informational" component.

Suggested Citation

  • Jonathan Donier & Julius Bonart & Iacopo Mastromatteo & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2014. "A fully consistent, minimal model for non-linear market impact," Papers 1412.0141, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2015.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1412.0141
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Sergey Nadtochiy, 2020. "A simple microstructural explanation of the concavity of price impact," Papers 2001.01860, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
    2. Frédéric Bucci & Michael Benzaquen & Fabrizio Lillo & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2019. "Slow Decay of Impact in Equity Markets: Insights from the ANcerno Database," Post-Print hal-02323357, HAL.
    3. Sudhanshu Pani, 2020. "A Theory of 'Auction as a Search' in speculative markets," Papers 2006.00775, arXiv.org.
    4. Gianbiagio Curato & Jim Gatheral & Fabrizio Lillo, 2014. "Optimal execution with nonlinear transient market impact," Papers 1412.4839, arXiv.org.
    5. Olivier F'eron & Peter Tankov & Laura Tinsi, 2020. "Price formation and optimal trading in intraday electricity markets," Papers 2009.04786, arXiv.org.
    6. Alvaro Cartea & Ryan Donnelly & Sebastian Jaimungal, 2019. "Hedging Non-Tradable Risks with Transaction Costs and Price Impact," Papers 1908.00054, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2020.
    7. Fr'ed'eric Bucci & Michael Benzaquen & Fabrizio Lillo & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2019. "Slow decay of impact in equity markets: insights from the ANcerno database," Papers 1901.05332, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2019.
    8. Marvin S. Mueller, 2016. "A stochastic Stefan-type problem under first-order boundary conditions," Papers 1601.03968, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2018.
    9. Iwao Maeda & David deGraw & Michiharu Kitano & Hiroyasu Matsushima & Hiroki Sakaji & Kiyoshi Izumi & Atsuo Kato, 2020. "Deep Reinforcement Learning in Agent Based Financial Market Simulation," Journal of Risk and Financial Management, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 13(4), pages 1-17, April.
    10. Mathias Pohl & Alexander Ristig & Walter Schachermayer & Ludovic Tangpi, 2017. "The amazing power of dimensional analysis: Quantifying market impact," Papers 1702.05434, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2017.
    11. Olivier F'eron & Peter Tankov & Laura Tinsi, 2020. "Price formation and optimal trading in intraday electricity markets with a major player," Papers 2011.07655, arXiv.org.
    12. Jonathan Donier & Julius Bonart, 2014. "A Million Metaorder Analysis of Market Impact on the Bitcoin," Papers 1412.4503, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2015.
    13. M. Derksen & B. Kleijn & R. de Vilder, 2019. "Clearing price distributions in call auctions," Papers 1904.07583, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2019.
    14. Gianbiagio Curato & Jim Gatheral & Fabrizio Lillo, 2017. "Optimal execution with non-linear transient market impact," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(1), pages 41-54, January.
    15. Coen, Jamie & Lepore, Caterina & Schaanning, Eric, 2019. "Taking regulation seriously: fire sales under solvency and liquidity constraints," Bank of England working papers 793, Bank of England.
    16. Zoltan Eisler & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2016. "Price impact without order book: A study of the OTC credit index market," Papers 1609.04620, arXiv.org.
    17. Fr'ed'eric Bucci & Iacopo Mastromatteo & Michael Benzaquen & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2019. "Impact is not just volatility," Papers 1905.04569, arXiv.org.
    18. Damian Eduardo Taranto & Giacomo Bormetti & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Fabrizio Lillo & Bence Toth, 2016. "Linear models for the impact of order flow on prices II. The Mixture Transition Distribution model," Papers 1604.07556, arXiv.org.
    19. Brunovský, Pavol & Černý, Aleš & Komadel, Ján, 2018. "Optimal trade execution under endogenous pressure to liquidate: Theory and numerical solutions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 264(3), pages 1159-1171.
    20. Álvaro Cartea & Ryan Donnelly & Sebastian Jaimungal, 2020. "Hedging nontradable risks with transaction costs and price impact," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(3), pages 833-868, July.
    21. Frédéric Bucci & Iacopo Mastromatteo & Michael Benzaquen & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2019. "Impact is not just volatility," Post-Print hal-02323182, HAL.
    22. Damian Eduardo Taranto & Giacomo Bormetti & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud & Fabrizio Lillo & Bence Toth, 2016. "Linear models for the impact of order flow on prices I. Propagators: Transient vs. History Dependent Impact," Papers 1602.02735, arXiv.org.
    23. Olivier Guéant, 2016. "The Financial Mathematics of Market Liquidity: From Optimal Execution to Market Making," Post-Print hal-01393136, HAL.

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