Crypto Listens: Asymmetric Reactions to Text-based Signals in Central Bank Communications
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Alan J. Auerbach & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2012.
"Measuring the Output Responses to Fiscal Policy,"
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 4(2), pages 1-27, May.
- Alan J. Auerbach & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2010. "Measuring the Output Responses to Fiscal Policy," NBER Chapters, in: Fiscal Policy (Trans-Atlantic Public Economics Seminar, TAPES), pages 1-27, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Alan J. Auerbach & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2010. "Measuring the Output Responses to Fiscal Policy," NBER Working Papers 16311, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Valerie A. Ramey, 2011.
"Identifying Government Spending Shocks: It's all in the Timing,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 126(1), pages 1-50.
- Valerie A. Ramey, 2009. "Identifying Government Spending Shocks: It's All in the Timing," NBER Working Papers 15464, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Marmora, Paul, 2022. "Does monetary policy fuel bitcoin demand? Event-study evidence from emerging markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Haroon Mumtaz & Jumana Saleheen & Roxane Spitznagel, 2023. "Keep it Simple: Central Bank Communication and Asset Prices," Working Papers 960, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Aldasoro, Iñaki & Cornelli, Giulio & Ferrari Minesso, Massimo & Gambacorta, Leonardo & Habib, Maurizio Michael, 2025.
"Stablecoins, money market funds and monetary policy,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
- Inaki Aldasoro & Giulio Cornelli & Massimo Ferrari Minesso & Leonardo Gambacorta & Maurizio Michael Habib, 2024. "Stablecoins, money market funds and monetary policy," BIS Working Papers 1219, Bank for International Settlements.
- Aldasoro, Iñaki & Ferrari Minesso, Massimo & Gambacorta, Leonardo & Habib, Maurizio Michael & Cornelli, Giulio, 2024. "Stablecoins, money market funds and monetary policy," Working Paper Series 2987, European Central Bank.
- Hamzah Daud & Jochen Demuth & Daniel Little & Megan Rodden & Amber Seira & Cy Watsky, 2024. "Primary and Secondary Markets for Stablecoins," FEDS Notes 2024-02-23-3, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Jakob de Haan & Rasmus Wiese, 2022.
"The impact of product and labour market reform on growth: Evidence for OECD countries based on local projections,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(4), pages 746-770, June.
- Jakob de Haan & Rasmus Wiese, 2020. "The Impact of Product and Labour Market Reform on Growth: Evidence for OECD Countries Based on Local Projections," CESifo Working Paper Series 8393, CESifo.
- Hansen, Stephen & McMahon, Michael, 2016.
"Shocking language: Understanding the macroeconomic effects of central bank communication,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(S1), pages 114-133.
- Stephen Hansen & Michael McMahon, 2016. "Shocking Language: Understanding the Macroeconomic Effects of Central Bank Communication," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2015, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Hansen, Stephen & McMahon, Michael, 2015. "Shocking language: Understanding the macroeconomic effects of central bank communication," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1098, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Stephen Hansen & Michael McMahon, 2015. "Shocking Language: Understanding the macroeconomic effects of central bank communication," Discussion Papers 1537, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
- Hansen, Stephen & McMahon, Michael, 2015. "Shocking language: Understanding the macroeconomic effects of central bank communication," Economic Research Papers 269727, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
- McMahon, Michael & Hansen, Stephen, 2015. "Shocking language: Understanding the macroeconomic effects of central bank communication," CEPR Discussion Papers 11018, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Stephen Hansen & Michael McMahon, 2016. "Shocking language: understanding the macroeconomic effects of central bank communication," CAMA Working Papers 2016-04, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Hansen, Stephen & McMahon, Michael, 2015. "Shocking language: Understanding the macroeconomic effects of central bank communication," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 258, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
- Hansen, Stephen & McMahon, Michael, 2015. "Shocking language: Understanding the macroeconomic effects of central bank communication," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86247, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Karau, Sören, 2023. "Monetary policy and Bitcoin," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
- Hunter Ng, 2024. "How Wash Traders Exploit Market Conditions in Cryptocurrency Markets," Papers 2411.08720, arXiv.org.
- Shaen Corbet & Charles Larkin & Brian M. Lucey & Andrew Meegan & Larisa Yarovaya, 2020. "The impact of macroeconomic news on Bitcoin returns," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(14), pages 1396-1416, September.
- Beck, Nathaniel & Katz, Jonathan N., 1995. "What To Do (and Not to Do) with Time-Series Cross-Section Data," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 89(3), pages 634-647, September.
- Neuhierl, Andreas & Weber, Michael, 2019. "Monetary policy communication, policy slope, and the stock market," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 140-155.
- Lachana, Ioanna & Schröder, David, 2025. "Investor sentiment and stock returns: Wisdom of crowds or power of words? Evidence from Seeking Alpha and Wall Street Journal," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Pyun, Chaehyun, 2024. "Synchronous social media and the stock market," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
- Steven J. Davis, 2016. "An Index of Global Economic Policy Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 22740, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Efstathios Polyzos & Ghulame Rubbaniy & Mieszko Mazur, 2024. "Efficient Market Hypothesis on the blockchain: A social‐media‐based index for cryptocurrency efficiency," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 59(3), pages 807-829, August.
- Kraaijeveld, Olivier & De Smedt, Johannes, 2020. "The predictive power of public Twitter sentiment for forecasting cryptocurrency prices," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
- Leombroni, Matteo & Vedolin, Andrea & Venter, Gyuri & Whelan, Paul, 2021. "Central bank communication and the yield curve," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(3), pages 860-880.
- Mikkel Plagborg‐Møller & Christian K. Wolf, 2021.
"Local Projections and VARs Estimate the Same Impulse Responses,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 89(2), pages 955-980, March.
- Mikkel Plagborg-Møller & Christian K. Wolf, 2020. "Local Projections and VARs Estimate the Same Impulse Responses," Working Papers 2020-16, Princeton University. Economics Department..
- Anamika & Madhumita Chakraborty & Sowmya Subramaniam, 2023. "Does Sentiment Impact Cryptocurrency?," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(2), pages 202-218, April.
- Alan J. Auerbach & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2013.
"Corrigendum: Measuring the Output Responses to Fiscal Policy,"
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 5(3), pages 320-322, August.
- Alan J. Auerbach & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2012. "Measuring the Output Responses to Fiscal Policy," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 4(2), pages 1-27, May.
- Xiaoquan Jiang & Iván M. Rodríguez & Qianying Zhang, 2023. "Macroeconomic fundamentals and cryptocurrency prices: A common trend approach," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 52(1), pages 181-198, March.
- Ahrens, Maximilian & Erdemlioglu, Deniz & McMahon, Michael & Neely, Christopher J. & Yang, Xiye, 2025.
"Mind your language: Market responses to central bank speeches,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 249(PC).
- Ahrens, Maximilian & Erdemlioglu, Deniz & Mcmahon, Michael & Neely, Christopher J & Yang, Xiye, 2023. "Mind Your Language: Market Responses to Central Bank Speeches," CEPR Discussion Papers 18191, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Maximilian Ahrens & Deniz Erdemlioglu & Michael McMahon & Christopher J. Neely & Xiye Yang, 2023. "Mind Your Language: Market Responses to Central Bank Speeches," Working Papers 2023-013, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 28 Sep 2024.
- Òscar Jordà, 2005. "Estimation and Inference of Impulse Responses by Local Projections," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(1), pages 161-182, March.
- Hussain Shahzad, Syed Jawad & Bouri, Elie & Roubaud, David & Kristoufek, Ladislav, 2020. "Safe haven, hedge and diversification for G7 stock markets: Gold versus bitcoin," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 212-224.
- Pyo, Sujin & Lee, Jaewook, 2020. "Do FOMC and macroeconomic announcements affect Bitcoin prices?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
- Tim Loughran & Bill Mcdonald, 2011. "When Is a Liability Not a Liability? Textual Analysis, Dictionaries, and 10‐Ks," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 66(1), pages 35-65, February.
- Nguyen, Thach V.H. & Nguyen, Thai Vu Hong & Nguyen, Thanh Cong & Pham, Thu Thi Anh & Nguyen, Quan M.P., 2022. "Stablecoins versus traditional cryptocurrencies in response to interbank rates," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Latifi, Albina & Naboka-Krell, Viktoriia & Tillmann, Peter & Winker, Peter, 2024.
"Fiscal policy in the Bundestag: Textual analysis and macroeconomic effects,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
- Albina Latifi & Viktoriia Naboka-Krell & Peter Tillmann & Peter Winker, 2023. "Fiscal Policy in the Bundestag: Textual Analysis and Macroeconomic Effects," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202307, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Latifi, Albina & Naboka-Krell, Viktoriia & Tillmann, Peter & Winker, Peter, 2023. "Fiscal Policy in the Bundestag: Textual Analysis and Macroeconomic Effects," VfS Annual Conference 2023 (Regensburg): Growth and the "sociale Frage" 277624, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Gonçalves, Sílvia & Herrera, Ana María & Kilian, Lutz & Pesavento, Elena, 2024.
"State-dependent local projections,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 244(2).
- Silvia Goncalves & Ana María Herrera & Lutz Kilian & Elena Pesavento, 2023. "State-Dependent Local Projections," Working Papers 2302, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
- Benatti, Nicola & Groiss, Martin & Kelly, Petra & Lopez-Garcia, Paloma, 2024.
"Environmental regulation and productivity growth in the euro area: Testing the porter hypothesis,"
Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
- Benatti, Nicola & Groiss, Martin & Kelly, Petra & Lopez-Garcia, Paloma, 2023. "Environmental regulation and productivity growth in the euro area: testing the Porter hypothesis," Working Paper Series 2820, European Central Bank.
- Mario Alloza & Jesús Gonzalo & Carlos Sanz, 2025.
"Dynamic Effects of Persistent Shocks,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(4), pages 380-394, June.
- Alloza, Mario & Gonzalo, Jesús & Sanz, Carlos, 2019. "Dynamic Effects of Persistent Shocks," UC3M Working papers. Economics 29187, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EconomÃa.
- Alloza, Mario & Gonzalo, Jesús & Sanz, Carlos, 2025. "Dynamic effects of persistent shocks," UC3M Working papers. Economics 45381, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de EconomÃa.
- Mario Alloza & Jesus Gonzalo & Carlos Sanz, 2020. "Dynamic Effects of Persistent Shocks," Papers 2006.14047, arXiv.org.
- Mario Alloza & Jesús Gonzalo & Carlos Sanz, 2019. "Dynamic effects of persistent shocks," Working Papers 1944, Banco de España.
- Pascal Goemans, 2022. "Historical evidence for larger government spending multipliers in uncertain times than in slumps," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 60(3), pages 1164-1185, July.
- Bonsoo Koo & Seojeong Lee & Myung Hwan Seo & Masaya Takano, 2022. "What Impulse Response Do Instrumental Variables Identify?," Papers 2208.11828, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2025.
- Sylvain Leduc & Daniel Wilson, 2013.
"Roads to Prosperity or Bridges to Nowhere? Theory and Evidence on the Impact of Public Infrastructure Investment,"
NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 27(1), pages 89-142.
- Sylvain Leduc & Daniel Wilson, 2012. "Roads to Prosperity or Bridges to Nowhere? Theory and Evidence on the Impact of Public Infrastructure Investment," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2012, Volume 27, pages 89-142, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Sylvain Leduc & Daniel J. Wilson, 2012. "Roads to prosperity or bridges to nowhere? theory and evidence on the impact of public infrastructure investment," Working Paper Series 2012-04, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Sylvain Leduc & Daniel Wilson, 2012. "Roads to Prosperity or Bridges to Nowhere? Theory and Evidence on the Impact of Public Infrastructure Investment," NBER Working Papers 18042, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Daniel Wilson & Sylvain Leduc, 2012. "Roads to Prosperity or Bridges to Nowhere? Theory and Evidence on the Impact of Public Infrastructure Investment," 2012 Meeting Papers 210, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Riera-Crichton, Daniel & Vegh, Carlos A. & Vuletin, Guillermo, 2015.
"Procyclical and countercyclical fiscal multipliers: Evidence from OECD countries,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 15-31.
- Daniel Riera-Crichton & Carlos A. Vegh & Guillermo Vuletin, 2014. "Procyclical and Countercyclical Fiscal Multipliers: Evidence from OECD Countries," NBER Working Papers 20533, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Andrea Boitani & Salvatore Perdichizzi & Chiara Punzo, 2022.
"Nonlinearities and expenditure multipliers in the Eurozone [Tales of fiscal adjustment],"
Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 31(2), pages 552-575.
- Andrea Boitani & Salvatore Perdichizzi & Chiara Punzo, 2020. "Nonlinearities and expenditure multipliers in the Eurozone," DISCE - Working Papers del Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza def089, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE).
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Marija Vukotic, 2022.
"Patent-Based News Shocks,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(1), pages 51-66, March.
- Cascaldi-Garcia, Danilo & Vukotic, Marija, 2019. "Patent-Based News Shocks," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1225, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Marija Vukotić, 2020. "Patent-Based News Shocks," International Finance Discussion Papers 1277, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Martin Geiger & Marios Zachariadis, 2019. "Assessing Expectations as a Monetary/Fiscal State-Dependent Phenomenon," University of Cyprus Working Papers in Economics 01-2019, University of Cyprus Department of Economics.
- Ma, Chaoqun & Tian, Yonggang & Hsiao, Shisong & Deng, Liurui, 2022. "Monetary policy shocks and Bitcoin prices," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Gilles Dufrénot & William Ginn & Marc Pourroy, 2023.
"ENSO Climate Patterns on Global Economic Conditions,"
AMSE Working Papers
2308, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
- Gilles Dufrénot & William Ginn & Marc Pourroy, 2023. "ENSO Climate Patterns on Global Economic Conditions," Working Papers hal-04064759, HAL.
- Yoosoon Chang & Yongok Choi & Chang Sik Kim & J. Isaac Miller & Joon Y. Park, 2024.
"Common Trends and Country Specific Heterogeneities in Long-Run World Energy Consumption,"
Working Papers
No 01/2024, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
- Yoosoon Chang & Yongok Choi & Chang Sik Kim & J. Isaac Miller & Joon Y. Park, 2024. "Common Trends and Country Specific Heterogeneities in Long-Run World Energy Consumption," CAMA Working Papers 2024-04, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Yoosoon Chang & Yongok Choi & Chang Sik Kim & J. Isaac Miller & Joon Y. Park, 2024. "Common Trends and Country Specific Heterogeneities in Long-Run World Energy Consumption," Working Papers 2401, Department of Economics, University of Missouri.
- Yoosoon Chang & Yongok Choi & Chang Sik Kim & J. Isaac Miller & Joon Y. Park, 2024. "Common Trends and Country Specific Heterogeneities in Long-Run World Energy Consumption," CAEPR Working Papers 2024-001 Classification-1, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
- Anh D. M. Nguyen & Luisanna Onnis & Raffaele Rossi, 2021.
"The Macroeconomic Effects of Income and Consumption Tax Changes,"
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 13(2), pages 439-466, May.
- Anh D.M.Nguyen & Luisanna Onnis & Raffaele Rossi, 2016. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Income and Consumption Tax Changes," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 227, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Anh D.M.Nguyen & Luisanna Onnis & Raffaele Rossi, 2017. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Income and Consumption Tax Changes," Working Papers 2017008, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics.
- Mario Alloza, 2014.
"Is Fiscal Policy More Effective in Uncertain Times or During Recessions?,"
Discussion Papers
1631, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), revised Oct 2016.
- Mario Alloza, 2017. "Is fiscal policy more effective in uncertain times or during recessions?," Working Papers 1730, Banco de España.
- Alloza, Mario, 2016. "Is fiscal policy more effective in uncertain times or during recessions?," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86179, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Afonso, António & Jalles, João Tovar, 2019.
"The Fiscal consequences of deflation: Evidence from the Golden Age of Globalization,"
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 129-147.
- António Afonso & João Tovar Jalles, 2016. "The Fiscal Consequences of Deflation: Evidence from the Golden Age of Globalization," Working Papers Department of Economics 2016/23, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
- Pablo Hernández de Cos & Enrique Moral-Benito, 2016.
"Fiscal multipliers in turbulent times: the case of Spain,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 50(4), pages 1589-1625, June.
- Pablo Hernández de Cos & Enrique Moral-Benito, 2013. "Fiscal multipliers in turbulent times: the case of Spain," Working Papers 1309, Banco de España.
- Istrefi, Klodiana & Odendahl, Florens & Sestieri, Giulia, 2023.
"Fed communication on financial stability concerns and monetary policy decisions: Revelations from speeches,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
- Klodiana Istrefi & Florens Odendahl & Giulia Sestieri, 2020. "Fed Communication on Financial Stability Concerns and Monetary Policy Decisions: Revelations from Speeches," Working papers 779, Banque de France.
- Istrefi, Klodiana & Odendahl, Florens & Sestieri, Giulia, 2022. "Fed Communication on Financial Stability Concerns and Monetary Policy Decisions: Revelations from Speeches," CEPR Discussion Papers 17671, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Klodiana Istrefi & Florens Odendahl & Giulia Sestieri, 2021. "Fed communication on financial stability concerns and monetary policy decisions: revelations from speeches," Working Papers 2110, Banco de España.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert L., 2024. "Uncertainty Shocks and Inflation: The Role of Credibility and Expectation Anchoring," MPRA Paper 119971, University Library of Munich, Germany.
More about this item
Keywords
; ; ; ; ;JEL classification:
- D53 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Financial Markets
- E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
- E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
- G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
- O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-BIG-2025-07-14 (Big Data)
- NEP-CBA-2025-07-14 (Central Banking)
- NEP-FDG-2025-07-14 (Financial Development and Growth)
- NEP-MON-2025-07-14 (Monetary Economics)
- NEP-PAY-2025-07-14 (Payment Systems and Financial Technology)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:aoz:wpaper:365. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Laura Inés D Amato (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/redniar.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.