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I fattori demografici come determinanti della crescita economica: un'analisi empirica

Author

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  • Gabriele MORETTINI

    ([n.a.])

Abstract

Il presente lavoro vuole approfondire le relazioni tra crescita economica e dinamica demografica cercando in particolare di evidenziare l'influsso dei fattori demografici sull'andamento dell'economia. L'approccio scelto Š di tipo applicato: si procede ad un'analisi cross country tramite regressioni miranti a stimare l'impatto dei differenti elementi demografici sulla crescita del reddito pro capite. Le relazioni d'interesse sono poi testate su un ampio numero di campioni in modo da giungere a conclusioni robuste, che non mutano a seconda del set informativo utilizzato. I risultati ottenuti sembrano mostrare che i fattori demografici possiedono una capacita' esplicativa della dinamica economica, condizionata a una corretta specificazione. In questo modo si riescono ad individuare gli elementi piu' significativi e i canali principali attraverso cui si snodano le relazioni tra i due campi. E' cosi' possibile capire non solo se, ma anche come gli elementi demografici influenzano la crescita economica. Si nota come le relazioni mutano nel tempo e nello spazio, spesso in relazione alla Transizione Demografica e al grado di sviluppo. Vanno cosi' interpretate in un'ottica di causazione cumulata, con mutue interazioni tra la sfera economica e quella demografica.

Suggested Citation

  • Gabriele MORETTINI, 2005. "I fattori demografici come determinanti della crescita economica: un'analisi empirica," Working Papers 236, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.
  • Handle: RePEc:anc:wpaper:236
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Renato BALDUCCI, 2005. "Public Expenditure and Economic Growth. A critical extension of Barro's (1990) model," Working Papers 240, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.
    2. Roberto ESPOSTI & Pierpaolo PIERANI, 2005. "Price, Private Demand and Optimal Provision of Public R&D in Italian Agriculture," Working Papers 238, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    componenti della popolazione; crescita; robustezza; struttura demografica; timing;

    JEL classification:

    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models
    • C82 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data; Data Access
    • J10 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - General
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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