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Do Groups Make Wise Decisions?

Author

Listed:
  • Daniel Evans

    (University of Bonn)

  • Georg Schneider

    (University of Bonn)

Abstract

Many important decisions are made jointly by groups. While groups can draw on and discuss diverse perspectives, they may also suffer from counterproductive dynamics, such as herding and gridlock. To investigate this tension, we study three features that distinguish joint from individual decision-making: composition, communication, and collaborative aggregation. Simple comparisons between joint and individual decisions cannot distinguish their effects. To separate them, we design an experiment in which subjects construct portfolios to maximize returns and minimize volatility, first individually and then in one of three decision modes; each mode differs from adjacent modes by a single feature. We find that composition drives the benefits of joint decision-making: simply pooling two individuals' independent submissions together reduces portfolio concentration and volatility. Communication attenuates these gains by inducing partners to converge on similar portfolios and to prioritize maximizing returns over managing risk. Collaborative aggregation has little effect on average, but is beneficial when partners hold differing beliefs. Disentangling these features reveals an offsetting cost of communication that limits the ability of groups to make full use of members' inputs.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel Evans & Georg Schneider, 2026. "Do Groups Make Wise Decisions?," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 436, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:ajk:ajkdps:436
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    File URL: https://www.econtribute.de/RePEc/ajk/ajkdps/ECONtribute_436_2026.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2026
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    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C92 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Group Behavior
    • D70 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - General
    • D91 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making
    • G41 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making in Financial Markets
    • M54 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Personnel Economics - - - Labor Management

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