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The risk premium for equity: implications for resource allocation, welfare and policy

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  • Grant, Simon
  • Quiggin, John

Abstract

This paper describes experiences in the development and testing of three distinct financial models to support farm forestry decisions involving non-traditional tree species in northern Australia and in the Philippines. A variety of options were examined with respect to model design, yield prediction, computing platform, forestry performance criteria and other features. Two of the models focus on the forestry enterprise in isolation, while the third evaluates forestry within the context of the overall farm business. It is found that choice of model design depends on the particular type of application intended and availability of financial data for this application. Some complementarities were gained in replicating features when progressing from one model to the next. Model construction and testing were challenging tasks requiring considerable funds and for two of the models proceeding over a number of years. Validation involved the gradual gaining of confidence in a model as it progressed through various versions. For the more complex models, greater effort in development of the user interface was found to be warranted. The models have proved more suitable for use by extension agents than individual landholders. Even with major resource inputs into model development, a number of desirable additional features can be identified.

Suggested Citation

  • Grant, Simon & Quiggin, John, 2004. "The risk premium for equity: implications for resource allocation, welfare and policy," Risk and Sustainable Management Group Working Papers 151167, University of Queensland, School of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:uqsers:151167
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.151167
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Rajnish Mehra, 2003. "The Equity Premium: Why is it a Puzzle?," NBER Working Papers 9512, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Mehra, Rajnish & Prescott, Edward C., 2003. "The equity premium in retrospect," Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 14, pages 889-938, Elsevier.
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    Cited by:

    1. Siddiqi, Hammad, 2015. "Anchoring and Adjustment Heuristic: A Unified Explanation for Equity Puzzles," MPRA Paper 68729, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Siddiqi, Hammad, 2015. "Anchoring Heuristic and the Equity Premium Puzzle," MPRA Paper 68537, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. John Quiggin, 2010. "Bad Politics Makes Bad Policy: The Case of Queensland’s Asset Sales Programme," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 29(1), pages 13-22, March.
    4. Chris Shugart, 2008. "Public Private Partnerships, the Public Sector Comparator, and Discount Rates: Key Issues for Developing Countries," Development Discussion Papers 2008-02, JDI Executive Programs.
    5. Kim, Sei-Wan & Krausz, Joshua & Nam, Kiseok, 2013. "Revisiting asset pricing under habit formation in an overlapping-generations economy," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 132-138.
    6. Siddiqi, Hammad, 2016. "Anchoring and Adjustment Heuristic: A Unified Explanation for Asset-Return Puzzles," Risk and Sustainable Management Group Working Papers 229607, University of Queensland, School of Economics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Public Economics; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy;

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • H1 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government

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