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Projecting Food Demand: A Comparison Of Two Methods

Author

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  • Yetley, Mervin J.
  • Tun, Sovan

Abstract

Results of food demand projections based on national aggregate data are compared to those based on micro, or subnational, data sources. Sri Lanka data for 1969/70 were used as a ease study. Both projection methods give similar results for total food demand. For individual commodities, aggregate projections are smaller than micro projections, with the exception of rice and vegetables. Micro projections may be more reliable because more factors underlying demand are taken into account. If used in development planning, the results of these projection procedures would lead to very different food production strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Yetley, Mervin J. & Tun, Sovan, 1986. "Projecting Food Demand: A Comparison Of Two Methods," Staff Reports 277890, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:uerssr:277890
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.277890
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    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/277890/files/ers-report-245.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yetley, Mervin J. & Tun, Sovan, 1984. "Comparison Of Three Food Consumption Estimation Procedures," Staff Reports 276845, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    2. Tun, Sovan & Yetley, Mervin J., 1985. "A New Method to Assess Effects of Food Supply Shocks on Conumption in Developing Countries," Technical Bulletins 157671, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
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    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Qingbin, 1994. "Modeling China's household food demand in the transition toward a market economy," ISU General Staff Papers 1994010108000011518, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.

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    1. Tun, Sovan & Yetley, Mervin J., 1985. "Impact Of Economic Reform On Food Demand, Dominican Republic," Staff Reports 277672, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.

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