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Exactly What Happens After the Anscombe-Aumann Race? Representing Preferences in Vague Environments

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  • Viero, Marie-Louise

Abstract

This paper derives a representation of preferences for a choice theory with vague environments; vague in the sense that the agent does not know the precise lotteries over outcomes conditional on states. Instead, he knows only a possible set of these lotteries for each state. Thus, this paper's main departure from the standard subjective expected utility model is to relax an assumption about the environment, rather than weakening the axiomatic structure. My model is consistent with the behavior observed in the Ellsberg experiment. It can capture the same type of behavior as the multiple priors models, but can also result in behavior that is dierent from both the behavior implied by standard subjective expected utility models and the behavior implied by the multiple priors models.

Suggested Citation

  • Viero, Marie-Louise, 2006. "Exactly What Happens After the Anscombe-Aumann Race? Representing Preferences in Vague Environments," Queen's Economics Department Working Papers 273570, Queen's University - Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:quedwp:273570
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.273570
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    Cited by:

    1. Gajdos, T. & Hayashi, T. & Tallon, J.-M. & Vergnaud, J.-C., 2008. "Attitude toward imprecise information," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 140(1), pages 27-65, May.
    2. Marie-Louise Vierø, 2012. "Contracting in Vague Environments," American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 4(2), pages 104-130, May.
    3. Stergios Athanassoglou & Valentina Bosetti & Gauthier de Maere d'Aertryckey, 2012. "Optimal investment and the ambiguous aggregation of expert opinions," Working Papers 468, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • D00 - Microeconomics - - General - - - General

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