Probability Distortion and Loss Aversion in Futures Hedging
We analyze how the introduction of probability distortion and loss aversion in the standard hedging problem changes the optimal hedge ratio. Based on simulated cash and futures prices for soybeans, our results indicate that the optimal hedge changes considerably when probability distortion is considered. However, the impact of loss aversion on hedging decisions appears to be small, and it diminishes as loss aversion increases. Our findings suggest that probability distortion is a major driving force in hedging decisions, while loss aversion plays just a marginal role.
|Date of creation:||2006|
|Contact details of provider:|| Web page: http://www.agebb.missouri.edu/ncrext/ncr134/|
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:ncrsix:18992. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (AgEcon Search)
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.