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Household vulnerability to food insecurity in the face of climate change in Paraguay

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  • Ervin, Paul A.
  • Gayoso de Ervin, Lyliana

Abstract

This working paper analyses the effect climate change is expected to have on agricultural productivity, caloric consumption, and vulnerability to food insecurity of household agricultural producers in Paraguay. Our results suggest that increasing temperatures and reduced precipitation will reduce agricultural productivity and caloric consumption, and increase vulnerability to food insecurity. Specifically, a 1 percent increase in average maximum temperatures is associated with a 5 percent reduction in agricultural productivity. A 5 percent reduction in agricultural productivity translates into nearly a 1 percent reduction in caloric consumption. Vulnerability to food insecurity in Paraguay is expected to increase by 28 percentage points by 2100 due to climate change, increasing fastest in areas where temperatures are increasing and rainfall is diminishing. We explore a number of interventions that policy makers can pursue to limit the impact of climate change on food insecurity.

Suggested Citation

  • Ervin, Paul A. & Gayoso de Ervin, Lyliana, 2019. "Household vulnerability to food insecurity in the face of climate change in Paraguay," ESA Working Papers 288947, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Agricultural Development Economics Division (ESA).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:faoaes:288947
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.288947
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    Keywords

    Consumer/Household Economics; Food Security and Poverty; Risk and Uncertainty;
    All these keywords.

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