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Development of the AG-MEMOD Country Level Agricultural Policy Analysis Tool in the New Members States of EU

Author

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  • Erjavec, Emil
  • Donnellan, Trevor

Abstract

This paper describes the development of modelling tools to simulate the effects of agricultural policy changes in New Member States (NMS) of the EU. Partial equilibrium models, developed as part of the AG-MEMOD (Agricultural Member State Modelling) Partnership, are used to simulate the effects of EU Accession and CAP Reform for countries that have recently joined and countries that may soon join the EU. Results show the effect of policy change scenarios on the main agricultural product markets such as grains, oilseeds, livestock and livestock products, as well as other significant components of agricultural output. Estimates can be provided for each year to a 10-year horizon. In the paper, the challenges faced in building agricultural policy models for economies, which have only recently completed the transition to a market basis, are described, along with some illustrative examples of key results. The development of these models for the NMS is a step towards their integration, on a more formal basis, with sister models which have already been developed for the EU15 Member States.

Suggested Citation

  • Erjavec, Emil & Donnellan, Trevor, 2005. "Development of the AG-MEMOD Country Level Agricultural Policy Analysis Tool in the New Members States of EU," 89th Seminar, February 2-5, 2005, Parma, Italy 232591, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:eaae89:232591
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.232591
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    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/232591/files/Erjavec%20et%20al%202005%20Development%20of%20the%20AG-MEMOD%20Country%20Level%20Agricultural%20Policy%20Analysis%20Tool%20in%20the%20New%20Members%20States%20of%20EU.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Kotevska, Ana & Dimitrievski, Dragi & Erjavec, Emil, 2011. "Assessing the Future Development of the Macedonian Agriculture: Partial equilibrium model of livestock-feed sector," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 114698, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    2. van Delden, Hedwig & Stuczynski, Tomasz & Ciaian, Pavel & Paracchini, Maria Luisa & Hurkens, Jelle & Lopatka, Artur & Shi, Yu-e & Prieto, Oscar Gomez & Calvo, Silvia & van Vliet, Jasper & Vanhout, Roe, 2010. "Integrated assessment of agricultural policies with dynamic land use change modelling," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 221(18), pages 2153-2166.
    3. P. Ciaian, 2007. "Land use changes in the EU: Policy and macro impact analysis," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 53(12), pages 565-579.
    4. van Leeuwen, Myrna & Bartova, Lubica & M'Barek, Robert & Kavcic, Stane, 2007. "EU Agricultural Markets Outlook - Agmemod Approach," 100th Seminar, June 21-23, 2007, Novi Sad, Serbia and Montenegro 162403, European Association of Agricultural Economists.

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