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Rural development drivers and public policy formulation: the use of prospective structural analysis


  • Delgado-Serrano, Maria del Mar
  • Amador-Hidalgo, Francisco
  • Ambrosio Albala, Mateo


Traditional economic development theories have struggled to identify, in a comprehensive manner, the drivers and constraints that explain singular development paths and lead to spatial inequalities. Assuming that development patterns are territory-specific, the research hypothesis is that public policies should have a better understanding of territorial dynamics in order to propose strategies efficient to trigger changes. This paper applies the use of Prospective Structural Analysis (PSA), a foresight analysis technique, to explore the territorial dynamics. The results show that, within a territory, the variables play different roles, and suggest that rural policies might have focused on factors that have few influence in fostering changes rather than on those with leverage effects.

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  • Delgado-Serrano, Maria del Mar & Amador-Hidalgo, Francisco & Ambrosio Albala, Mateo, 2010. "Rural development drivers and public policy formulation: the use of prospective structural analysis," 118th Seminar, August 25-27, 2010, Ljubljana, Slovenia 94895, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:eaa118:94895

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    Rural development policies; territorial rural development; prospective structural analysis; Community/Rural/Urban Development; O18;

    JEL classification:

    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure

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