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Difficulties in Determining the Future of China’s Commodity Trade: Policy Issues and Grain Production

Author

Listed:
  • Hansen, Jim
  • Gale, Fred
  • Marchant, Mary A.
  • Tuan, Francis
  • Zhong, Funing
  • Chen, Wei
  • Somwaru, Agapi

Abstract

Demonstrate the difficulty in developing long-term commodity projections for global markets based on current assumptions about China’s agriculture trade policies and production potential. Analyze two independent issues affecting China’s long-term projections,which affect the global markets and other country projections. Analyze the impact of restricting sorghum imports by China. What are the effects of these restrictions on global market trade, international and domestic prices, producers and consumers? Analyze impact of limiting the continuous expansion in area planted to corn in China and lowering restrictions on corn imports. What will be the effect on global markets, international prices and trade as China increases corn imports for domestic feed demand?

Suggested Citation

  • Hansen, Jim & Gale, Fred & Marchant, Mary A. & Tuan, Francis & Zhong, Funing & Chen, Wei & Somwaru, Agapi, 2015. "Difficulties in Determining the Future of China’s Commodity Trade: Policy Issues and Grain Production," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205436, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea15:205436
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.205436
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    Keywords

    Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade;

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