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Competitive Optimality Of Logarithmic Investment

In: THE KELLY CAPITAL GROWTH INVESTMENT CRITERION THEORY and PRACTICE

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  • ROBERT M. BELL
  • THOMAS M. COVER

Abstract

Consider the two-person zero-sum game in which two investors are each allowed to invest in a market with stocks (X1, X2, …,Xm) ∼ F, where Xi ⩾ 0. Each investor has one unit of capital. The goal is to achieve more money than one's opponent. Allowable portfolio strategies are random investment policies $\underline{B} \in \mathbb{R}^{m} , \underline{B} \geqslant \underline{0}, E \sum\nolimits_{i = 1}^{m} \underline{B}_{i} = 1$. The payoff to player 1 for policy $\underline{B}_{1} \; \textrm{vs.} \; \underline{B}_{2}$ is $ P \{ \underline{B}^{t}_{1}\underline{X} \geqslant \underline{B}^{t}_{2}\underline{X} \}$. The optimal policy is shown to be $\underline{B}^{*} = U\underline{b}^{*}$, where U is a random variable uniformly distributed on [0, 2], and $\underline{b}^{*}$ maximizes E In $\underline{b}^{\prime} \underline{X}$ over $\underline{b} \geqslant \underline{0}, \sum {b_{i} = 1}$.Curiously, this competitively optimal investment policy $\underline{b}^{*}$ is the same policy that achieves the maximum possible growth rate of capital in repeated independent investments (Breiman (1961) and Kelly (1956)). Thus the immediate goal of outperforming another investor is perfectly compatible with maximizing the asymptotic rate of return.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert M. Bell & Thomas M. Cover, 2011. "Competitive Optimality Of Logarithmic Investment," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Leonard C MacLean & Edward O Thorp & William T Ziemba (ed.), THE KELLY CAPITAL GROWTH INVESTMENT CRITERION THEORY and PRACTICE, chapter 12, pages 147-152, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  • Handle: RePEc:wsi:wschap:9789814293501_0012
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    Cited by:

    1. Giovanni Artiglio & Aiden Youkhana & Joel Nishimura, 2022. "The Emergence of League and Sub-League Structure in the Population Lotto Game," Papers 2209.00143, arXiv.org.

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