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Is technological progress behind growing income inequality?

In: Global Economic Modeling A Volume in Honor of Lawrence R. Klein

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  • Zsolt Darvas

Abstract

Income inequality might be boosted by skill-biased technical change, which shifts production to technology that favours skilled over unskilled workers and thereby might increase the wages of skilled relative to unskilled workers. Robotisation and globalisation might also increase income inequality, due to the reduced number of jobs and reduced wages of certain less skilled workers. However, we cast doubt on the hypothesis that technology-driven developments were a major factor behind rising inequality in the United States and some other advanced countries. Despite many similarities in labour market developments, the skill premium and income inequality evolved differently in the United States and the European Union. We show that the United States was an outlier to the cross-country relationship between the unemployment rate of tertiary-educated workers and their pay rises, and also an outlier to the relationship between the share of tertiary-educated workers and their wages relative to lower-educated peers. Therefore, even though our analysis suggests that technological change tends to favour those with greater skills, it is hard to see how this has contributed to rising income inequality. Other factors, such as redistribution, social protection and education policies or the regulation of certain professions may be more relevant.

Suggested Citation

  • Zsolt Darvas, 2018. "Is technological progress behind growing income inequality?," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Peter Pauly (ed.), Global Economic Modeling A Volume in Honor of Lawrence R. Klein, chapter 11, pages 256-276, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  • Handle: RePEc:wsi:wschap:9789813220447_0011
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    Keywords

    Econometrics; Modeling; International Economics;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics

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