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On The Efficiency Of The Market For Double (Quinella) Bets At A Finnish Racetrack

In: Efficiency Of Racetrack Betting Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Antti Kanto

    (Helsinki School of Economics, Helsinki, Finland)

  • Gunnar Rosenqvist

    (Swedish School of Economics and Business Administration, Helsinki, Finland)

Abstract

This paper proposes a system for double betting at a racetrack, The proposed method utilizes Harville's (1973) formulas to reduce the $\big(\begin{array}{cc}k\\ 2 \end{array}\big)$ -dimensional space of empirical odds for double Bets to a (k−1)-dimensional space (k is the number of horses in a race). A novel feature of our betting system, compared with earlier work e.g. by Ziemba and Hausch, is that win market efficiency is not assumed since it is not supported by the Finnish data. The Kelly criterion is utilized for determining die amount of money to be wagered on each bet. The system is tested on data from 111 races at a Finnish racetrack and found to produce positive profits.

Suggested Citation

  • Antti Kanto & Gunnar Rosenqvist, 2008. "On The Efficiency Of The Market For Double (Quinella) Bets At A Finnish Racetrack," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Donald B Hausch & Victor SY Lo & William T Ziemba (ed.), Efficiency Of Racetrack Betting Markets, chapter 48, pages 485-498, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  • Handle: RePEc:wsi:wschap:9789812819192_0048
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    Cited by:

    1. O’Connor, Philip, 2005. "What can we learn from Horse Racing?," 2005 Conference, August 26-27, 2005, Nelson, New Zealand 98524, New Zealand Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.

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