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Heat Kernel Interest Rate Models With Time-Inhomogeneous Markov Processes

In: Financial Informatics An Information-Based Approach to Asset Pricing

Author

Listed:
  • JIRÔ AKAHORI
  • ANDREA MACRINA

Abstract

We consider a heat kernel approach for the development of stochastic pricing kernels. The kernels are constructed by positive propagators, which are driven by time-inhomogeneous Markov processes. We multiply such a propagator with a positive, time-dependent and decreasing weight function, and integrate the product over time. The result is a so-called weighted heat kernel that by construction is a supermartingale with respect to the filtration generated by the time-inhomogeneous Markov processes. As an application, we show how this framework naturally fits the information-based asset pricing framework where time-inhomogeneous Markov processes are utilized to model partial information about random economic factors. We present examples of pricing kernel models which lead to analytical formulae for bond prices along with explicit expressions for the associated interest rate and market price of risk. Furthermore, we also address the pricing of fixed-income derivatives within this framework.

Suggested Citation

  • Jirô Akahori & Andrea Macrina, 2022. "Heat Kernel Interest Rate Models With Time-Inhomogeneous Markov Processes," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Dorje Brody & Lane Hughston & Andrea Macrina (ed.), Financial Informatics An Information-Based Approach to Asset Pricing, chapter 9, pages 179-193, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  • Handle: RePEc:wsi:wschap:9789811246494_0009
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    Keywords

    Financial Mathematics; Mathematical Finance; Financial Markets; Informatics; Asset Pricing; Asset Price Dynamics; Stochastic Modelling; Information Process; Information Flow; Signal Processing; Filtration; Brownian Motion; Brownian Bridge; Change of Measure; Stochastic Volatility; Credit Risk; Default; Equities; Bonds; Collateralized Debt Obligation; Discount Bond; Lévy Process; Lévy Random Bridge; Lévy Information; Gamma Bridge; Markov Bridge; Pricing Kernel; Option Pricing; Informed Traders; Insurance; Reinsurance; Insurance Claims; Bond Portfolio; Heat Kernel; Markov Process; Variance Gamma Process; Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process; Commodities; Fake News;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling
    • C02 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Mathematical Economics

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