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Immigration Reform Scenarios for US Agriculture

In: POLICY ANALYSIS AND MODELING OF THE GLOBAL ECONOMY A Festschrift Celebrating Thomas Hertel

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  • Peter B. Dixon
  • Maureen T. Rimmer

Abstract

The general equilibrium method adopted here reveals several effects of agriculture-focused immigration policies that would not have emerged in partial equilibrium analysis applied to agriculture. Our general equilibrium model includes specifications of inter-sectoral labor flows; the role of vacancies in determining occupational choices; and macroeconomic relationships. This enables us to show that agricultural guest-worker and legalization programs are likely to have similar effects on the agricultural sector; cause a gradual welfare-enhancing transformation of the occupational mix of incumbent employment away from agriculture; have small (possibly negative) effects on farm income; and have positive effects on aggregate capital, employment, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

Suggested Citation

  • Peter B. Dixon & Maureen T. Rimmer, 2021. "Immigration Reform Scenarios for US Agriculture," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Peter Dixon & Joseph Francois & Dominique van der Mensbrugghe (ed.), POLICY ANALYSIS AND MODELING OF THE GLOBAL ECONOMY A Festschrift Celebrating Thomas Hertel, chapter 16, pages 517-557, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:wschap:9789811233630_0016
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    Keywords

    Computable General Equilibrium Modeling; CGE Models; Trade Policy Modeling; GTAP; Global Trade Analysis Project; Trade Impact Assessments; Sustainability Impact Assessments; Trade and Employment; Trade and Climate; Globalization; Preferential Trade Agreements; Thomas Hertel;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F18 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Environment
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • Q56 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounts and Accounting; Environmental Equity; Population Growth

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