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Bayesian Portfolio Mean–Variance Efficiency Test with Sharpe Ratio’s Sampling Error

In: HANDBOOK OF FINANCIAL ECONOMETRICS, MATHEMATICS, STATISTICS, AND MACHINE LEARNING

Author

Listed:
  • Lie-Jane Kao
  • Huei Ching Soo
  • Cheng Few Lee

Abstract

This study proposes a Bayesian test for a test portfolio p’s mean–variance efficiency that takes into account the sampling errors associated with the ex post Sharpe ratio ŜR of the test portfolio p. The test is based on the Bayes factor that compares the joint likelihoods under the null hypothesis H0 and the alternative H1, respectively. Using historical monthly return data of 10 industrial portfolios and a test portfolio, namely, the CRSP value-weighted index, from January 1941 to December 1973 and January 1980 to December 2012, the power function of the proposed Bayesian test is compared to the conditional multivariate F-test by Gibbons, Ross and Shanken (1989) and the Bayesian test by Shanken (1987). In an independent simulation study, the performance of the proposed Bayesian test is also demonstrated.

Suggested Citation

  • Lie-Jane Kao & Huei Ching Soo & Cheng Few Lee, 2020. "Bayesian Portfolio Mean–Variance Efficiency Test with Sharpe Ratio’s Sampling Error," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Cheng Few Lee & John C Lee (ed.), HANDBOOK OF FINANCIAL ECONOMETRICS, MATHEMATICS, STATISTICS, AND MACHINE LEARNING, chapter 93, pages 3241-3261, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  • Handle: RePEc:wsi:wschap:9789811202391_0093
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial Econometrics; Financial Mathematics; Financial Statistics; Financial Technology; Machine Learning; Covariance Regression; Cluster Effect; Option Bound; Dynamic Capital Budgeting; Big Data;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics
    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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