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Key Borrowers Detected by the Intensities of Their Interactions

In: HANDBOOK OF FINANCIAL ECONOMETRICS, MATHEMATICS, STATISTICS, AND MACHINE LEARNING

Author

Listed:
  • Fuad Aleskerov
  • Irina Andrievskaya
  • Alisa Nikitina
  • Sergey Shvydun

Abstract

We propose a novel method to estimate the level of interconnectedness of a financial institution or system, as the measures currently suggested in the literature do not fully take into consideration an important aspect of interconnectedness — group interactions of agents. Our approach is based on the power index and centrality analysis and is employed to find a key borrower in a loan market. It has three distinctive features: it considers long-range interactions among agents, agents’ attributes and a possibility of an agent to be affected by a group of other agents. This approach allows us to identify systemically important elements which cannot be detected by classical centrality measures or other indices. The proposed method is employed to analyze the banking foreign claims as of 1Q 2015. Using our approach, we detect two types of key borrowers (a) major players with high ratings and positive credit history; (b) intermediary players, which have a great scale of financial activities through the organization of favorable investment conditions and positive business climate.

Suggested Citation

  • Fuad Aleskerov & Irina Andrievskaya & Alisa Nikitina & Sergey Shvydun, 2020. "Key Borrowers Detected by the Intensities of Their Interactions," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Cheng Few Lee & John C Lee (ed.), HANDBOOK OF FINANCIAL ECONOMETRICS, MATHEMATICS, STATISTICS, AND MACHINE LEARNING, chapter 9, pages 355-389, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  • Handle: RePEc:wsi:wschap:9789811202391_0009
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial Econometrics; Financial Mathematics; Financial Statistics; Financial Technology; Machine Learning; Covariance Regression; Cluster Effect; Option Bound; Dynamic Capital Budgeting; Big Data;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics
    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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