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Failure of Bayesian Updating in Repeated Bilateral Bargaining

In: Experimental Business Research

Author

Listed:
  • Ching Chyi Lee

    (The Chinese University of Hong Kong)

  • Eythan Weg

    (Purdue University)

  • Rami Zwick

    (The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology)

Abstract

Ever since Camerer and Weigelt (1988) concluded in their important experimental work that “sequential equilibrium describes actual behavior well enough,” we might be tempted to use this theory confidently in various domains. To assess the robustness of the above conclusion, the present study attempts to explore Bayesian updating in a bilateral negotiated sale setup injected with a whiff of an ultimatum aroma. We conclude that the ultimatum nature of the basic game tends to overwhelm rational behavior on the part of the sellers and that buyers are not cognizant of favorable prices occurring later in the game.

Suggested Citation

  • Ching Chyi Lee & Eythan Weg & Rami Zwick, 2005. "Failure of Bayesian Updating in Repeated Bilateral Bargaining," Springer Books, in: Amnon Rapoport & Rami Zwick (ed.), Experimental Business Research, chapter 0, pages 249-260, Springer.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:sprchp:978-0-387-24243-9_13
    DOI: 10.1007/0-387-24243-0_13
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    Cited by:

    1. Feri, Francesco & Gantner, Anita, 2011. "Bargaining or searching for a better price? - An experimental study," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 72(2), pages 376-399, June.

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