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Economic Change as a Cause of International Conflict

In: Peace, Defence and Economic Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Bruce Russett

    (Yale University)

Abstract

This chapter reviews various hypotheses about the relation between economic change and governments’ readiness to participate in international conflict. It develops a theoretical model with hypothesised linkages from economic difficulty, to governments’ efforts to contain domestic political discontent stemming from that difficulty, through militarisation to participation in militarised international disputes. It also develops a hypothesis that democratic governments may respond to economic difficulty in a way that is systematically different from that of non-democratic governments. It then tests these hypotheses on two large bodies of cross-temporal and cross-national political and economic data. The results suggest some tendency for democratic governments to engage in international conflict more often after economic downturn, and for non-democratic governments to do so after economic expansion.

Suggested Citation

  • Bruce Russett, 1987. "Economic Change as a Cause of International Conflict," International Economic Association Series, in: Christian Schmidt & Frank Blackaby (ed.), Peace, Defence and Economic Analysis, chapter 9, pages 185-205, Palgrave Macmillan.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:intecp:978-1-349-18898-7_9
    DOI: 10.1007/978-1-349-18898-7_9
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    Cited by:

    1. William D. Baker & John R. Oneal, 2001. "Patriotism or Opinion Leadership?," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 45(5), pages 661-687, October.
    2. Harvey Starr, 1991. "Democratic Dominoes," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 35(2), pages 356-381, June.
    3. Zeev Maoz & Nasrin Abdolali, 1989. "Regime Types and International Conflict, 1816-1976," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 33(1), pages 3-35, March.
    4. Susumu Suzuki & Volker Krause & J. David Singer, 2002. "The Correlates of War Project: a Bibliographic History of the Scientific Study of War and Peace, 1964-2000," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 19(2), pages 69-107, September.
    5. Graeme A. M. Davies, 2002. "Domestic Strife and the Initiation of International Conflicts," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 46(5), pages 672-692, October.

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