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Why the Decision-Theoretic Perspective Misrepresents Frequentist Inference: Revisiting Stein's Paradox and Admissibility

In: Advances in Statistical Methodologies and Their Application to Real Problems

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  • Aris Spanos

Abstract

The primary objective of this paper is to make a case that R.A. Fisher's objections to the decision-theoretic framing of frequentist inference are not without merit. It is argued that this framing is congruent with the Bayesian but incongruent with the frequentist approach; it provides the former with a theory of optimal inference but misrepresents the optimality theory of the latter. Decision-theoretic and Bayesian rules are considered optimal when they minimize the expected loss "for all possible values of ? in ?" [????], irrespective of what the true value ?* [state of Nature] happens to be; the value that gave rise to the data. In contrast, the theory of optimal frequentist inference is framed entirely in terms of the capacity of the procedure to pinpoint ?*. The inappropriateness of the quantifier ???? calls into question the relevance of admissibility as a minimal property for frequentist estimators. As a result, the pertinence of Stein's paradox, as it relates to the capacity of frequentist estimators to pinpoint ?*, needs to be reassessed. The paper also contrasts loss-based errors with traditional frequentist errors, arguing that the former are attached to ?, but the latter to the inference procedure itself.

Suggested Citation

  • Aris Spanos, 2017. "Why the Decision-Theoretic Perspective Misrepresents Frequentist Inference: Revisiting Stein's Paradox and Admissibility," Chapters, in: Tsukasa Hokimoto (ed.), Advances in Statistical Methodologies and Their Application to Real Problems, IntechOpen.
  • Handle: RePEc:ito:pchaps:107718
    DOI: 10.5772/65720
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    decision theoretic inference; Bayesian vs. frequentist inference; Stein's paradox; James-Stein estimator; loss functions; admissibility; error probabilities; loss functions; risk functions; complete class theorem;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C60 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - General

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