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International Trade Imbalance: The Amplification of Monetary Policy Effects through Financial Markets

In: Monetary Policy in the Context of the Financial Crisis: New Challenges and Lessons

Author

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  • Qiheng Han
  • Junqing Li
  • Jianbo Zhang

Abstract

Based on an uncertainty model with an infinite horizon, this chapter analyzes how financial development and monetary policy in two countries can impact international trade and capital flows and influence individual behavior and welfare. Our study shows that differences in capital market development are the major contributing factors for trade imbalance and investment among countries. We also find that monetary policies are important factors affecting the trade balance, consumption, and investment. Countries with one-sided, pegging exchange rate policies tend to buy more bonds and enjoy larger trade surpluses. This effect is closely related to the level of capital market development: in these two countries, at higher stages of development, the effects of idiosyncratic monetary policy on imbalance are amplified.

Suggested Citation

  • Qiheng Han & Junqing Li & Jianbo Zhang, 2015. "International Trade Imbalance: The Amplification of Monetary Policy Effects through Financial Markets," International Symposia in Economic Theory and Econometrics, in: Monetary Policy in the Context of the Financial Crisis: New Challenges and Lessons, volume 24, pages 339-365, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
  • Handle: RePEc:eme:isetez:s1571-038620150000024021
    DOI: 10.1108/S1571-038620150000024021
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    incomplete financial market; monetary policy combination; global imbalances; D52; F17; F34;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D52 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Incomplete Markets
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems

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