IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/h/eme/aecozz/s0731-905320150000035004.html
   My bibliography  Save this book chapter

Dynamic Factor Models for the Volatility Surface☆

In: Dynamic Factor Models

Author

Listed:
  • Michel van der Wel
  • Sait R. Ozturk
  • Dick van Dijk

Abstract

The implied volatility surface is the collection of volatilities implied by option contracts for different strike prices and time-to-maturity. We study factor models to capture the dynamics of this three-dimensional implied volatility surface. Three model types are considered to examine desirable features for representing the surface and its dynamics: a general dynamic factor model, restricted factor models designed to capture the key features of the surface along the moneyness and maturity dimensions, and in-between spline-based methods. Key findings are that: (i) the restricted and spline-based models are both rejected against the general dynamic factor model, (ii) the factors driving the surface are highly persistent, and (iii) for the restricted models optionΔis preferred over the more often used strike relative to spot price as measure for moneyness.

Suggested Citation

  • Michel van der Wel & Sait R. Ozturk & Dick van Dijk, 2016. "Dynamic Factor Models for the Volatility Surface☆," Advances in Econometrics, in: Dynamic Factor Models, volume 35, pages 127-174, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    • Handle: RePEc:eme:aecozz:s0731-905320150000035004
    DOI: 10.1108/S0731-905320150000035004
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/S0731-905320150000035004/full/html?utm_source=repec&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=repec
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/S0731-905320150000035004/full/epub?utm_source=repec&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=repec&title=10.1108/S0731-905320150000035004
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/S0731-905320150000035004/full/pdf?utm_source=repec&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=repec
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1108/S0731-905320150000035004?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dynamic factor models; implied volatility surface; Kalman filter; maximum likelihood; C32; C58; G13;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eme:aecozz:s0731-905320150000035004. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Emerald Support (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.