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Euler Equations for the Estimation of Dynamic Discrete Choice Structural Models

In: Structural Econometric Models

Author

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  • Victor Aguirregabiria
  • Arvind Magesan

Abstract

We derive marginal conditions of optimality (i.e., Euler equations) for a general class ofDynamic Discrete Choice(DDC) structural models. These conditions can be used to estimate structural parameters in these models without having to solve for approximate value functions. This result extends to discrete choice models theGMM-Euler equationapproach proposed byHansen and Singleton (1982)for the estimation of dynamic continuous decision models. We first show that DDC models can be represented as models of continuous choice where the decision variable is a vector of choice probabilities. We then prove that the marginal conditions of optimality and the envelope conditions required to construct Euler equations are also satisfied inDDCmodels. The GMM estimation of these Euler equations avoids the curse of dimensionality associated to the computation of value functions and the explicit integration over the space of state variables. We present an empirical application and compare estimates using the GMM-Euler equations method with those from maximum likelihood and two-step methods.

Suggested Citation

  • Victor Aguirregabiria & Arvind Magesan, 2013. "Euler Equations for the Estimation of Dynamic Discrete Choice Structural Models," Advances in Econometrics, in: Structural Econometric Models, volume 31, pages 3-44, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
  • Handle: RePEc:eme:aecozz:s0731-9053(2013)0000032001
    DOI: 10.1108/S0731-9053(2013)0000032001
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    Cited by:

    1. Jeremiah Harris & Ralph Siebert, 2015. "Driven by the Discount Factor: Impact of Mergers on Market Performance in the Semiconductor Industry," CESifo Working Paper Series 5199, CESifo.
    2. Victor Aguirregabiria & Allan Collard-Wexler & Stephen P. Ryan, 2021. "Dynamic Games in Empirical Industrial Organization," NBER Working Papers 29291, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Harris, Jeremiah & Siebert, Ralph, 2017. "Firm-specific time preferences and postmerger firm performance," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 32-62.
    4. Kalouptsidi, Myrto & Scott, Paul T. & Souza-Rodrigues, Eduardo, 2021. "Linear IV regression estimators for structural dynamic discrete choice models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 778-804.
    5. David Canning & Declan French & Michael Moore, 2016. "The Economics of Fertility Timing: An Euler Equation Approach," PGDA Working Papers 11714, Program on the Global Demography of Aging.
    6. Christopher Ferrall, 2023. "Object Oriented (Dynamic) Programming: Closing the “Structural” Estimation Coding Gap," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 62(3), pages 761-816, October.
    7. Robert L. Bray, 2019. "Markov Decision Processes with Exogenous Variables," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(10), pages 4598-4606, October.
    8. Guan, Xiangyang & Chen, Cynthia, 2021. "A behaviorally-integrated individual-level state-transition model that can predict rapid changes in evacuation demand days earlier," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    9. repec:osf:socarx:8yfr7_v1 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Marguerite Obolensky, 2026. "The Rising Cost of US Crop Insurance Under Climate Change," NBER Chapters, in: Risk and Risk Management in the Agricultural Economy, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Jiaming Mao & Jingzhi Xu, 2020. "Ensemble Learning with Statistical and Structural Models," Papers 2006.05308, arXiv.org.
    12. Marc Bourreau & Yutec Sun, 2022. "Competition and Quality: Evidence from the Entry of Mobile Network Service," Working Papers 22-04, NET Institute.
    13. Milena Almagro & Tomás Domínguez‐Iino, 2025. "Location Sorting and Endogenous Amenities: Evidence From Amsterdam," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 93(3), pages 1031-1071, May.
    14. Kalouptsidi, Myrto & Scott, Paul T. & Souza-Rodrigues, Eduardo, 2018. "Linear IV Regression Estimators for Structural Dynamic Discrete Choice Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 13240, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    15. Myrto Kalouptsidi & Paul T. Scott & Eduardo Souza-Rodrigues, 2018. "Linear IV Regression Estimators for Structural Dynamic Discrete Choice Models," NBER Working Papers 25134, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis

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