IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/e/pmc56.html
   My authors  Follow this author

Patrick Eugene McSharry

Personal Details

First Name:Patrick
Middle Name:Eugene
Last Name:McSharry
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pmc56
http://www.mcsharry.net

Affiliation

(in no particular order)

University of Oxford, Department of Engineering Science

http://www.eng.ox.ac.uk/
UK, Oxford

University of Oxford, Mathematical Institute

http://www.maths.ox.ac.uk
Oxford, UK

Research output

as
Jump to: Articles

Articles

  1. Njuguna, Christopher & McSharry, Patrick, 2017. "Constructing spatiotemporal poverty indices from big data," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 318-327.
  2. Georgios Anastasiades & Patrick McSharry, 2013. "Quantile Forecasting of Wind Power Using Variability Indices," Energies, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 6(2), pages 1-34, February.
  3. Arora Siddharth & Little Max A. & McSharry Patrick E., 2013. "Nonlinear and nonparametric modeling approaches for probabilistic forecasting of the US gross national product," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(4), pages 395-420, September.
  4. Patrick McSharry, 2012. "Stream Analytics for Forecasting," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 24, pages 7-12, Winter.
  5. McSharry, Patrick E., 2011. "Validation and forecasting accuracy in models of climate change: Comments," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 996-999, October.
  6. David Orrell & Patrick McSharry, 2009. "Reply to Commentaries," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 14, pages 1-39, Summer.
  7. David Orrell & Patrick McSharry, 2009. "A Systems Approach to Forecasting," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 14, pages 25-30, Summer.
  8. Orrell, David & McSharry, Patrick, 2009. "System economics: Overcoming the pitfalls of forecasting models via a multidisciplinary approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 734-743, October.
  9. Taylor, James W. & de Menezes, Lilian M. & McSharry, Patrick E., 2006. "A comparison of univariate methods for forecasting electricity demand up to a day ahead," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 1-16.

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Articles

  1. Njuguna, Christopher & McSharry, Patrick, 2017. "Constructing spatiotemporal poverty indices from big data," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 318-327.

    Cited by:

    1. Chakraborty, Chiranjit & Joseph, Andreas, 2017. "Machine learning at central banks," Bank of England working papers 674, Bank of England.
    2. Purva Grover & Arpan Kumar Kar, 2017. "Big Data Analytics: A Review on Theoretical Contributions and Tools Used in Literature," Global Journal of Flexible Systems Management, Springer;Global Institute of Flexible Systems Management, vol. 18(3), pages 203-229, September.

  2. Georgios Anastasiades & Patrick McSharry, 2013. "Quantile Forecasting of Wind Power Using Variability Indices," Energies, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 6(2), pages 1-34, February.

    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Yao & Wang, Jianxue & Wang, Xifan, 2014. "Review on probabilistic forecasting of wind power generation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 255-270.
    2. Ying-Yi Hong & Ti-Hsuan Yu & Ching-Yun Liu, 2013. "Hour-Ahead Wind Speed and Power Forecasting Using Empirical Mode Decomposition," Energies, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 6(12), pages 1-16, November.
    3. Ricardo J. Bessa & Corinna Möhrlen & Vanessa Fundel & Malte Siefert & Jethro Browell & Sebastian Haglund El Gaidi & Bri-Mathias Hodge & Umit Cali & George Kariniotakis, 2017. "Towards Improved Understanding of the Applicability of Uncertainty Forecasts in the Electric Power Industry," Energies, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 10(9), pages 1-48, September.
    4. Gallego-Castillo, Cristobal & Bessa, Ricardo & Cavalcante, Laura & Lopez-Garcia, Oscar, 2016. "On-line quantile regression in the RKHS (Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space) for operational probabilistic forecasting of wind power," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 355-365.
    5. Zhiwei Shen & Matthias Ritter, 2015. "Forecasting volatility of wind power production," SFB 649 Discussion Papers SFB649DP2015-026, Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany.

  3. Arora Siddharth & Little Max A. & McSharry Patrick E., 2013. "Nonlinear and nonparametric modeling approaches for probabilistic forecasting of the US gross national product," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(4), pages 395-420, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2015. "Was the recent downturn in US real GDP predictable?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(28), pages 2985-3007, June.
    2. Berg Tim Oliver, 2017. "Forecast accuracy of a BVAR under alternative specifications of the zero lower bound," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(2), pages 1-29, April.
    3. Radek DOSKOČIL & Karel DOUBRAVSKÝ, 2017. "Qualitative Evaluation of Knowledge Based Model of Project Time-Cost as Decision Making Support," ECONOMIC COMPUTATION AND ECONOMIC CYBERNETICS STUDIES AND RESEARCH, Faculty of Economic Cybernetics, Statistics and Informatics, vol. 51(1), pages 263-280.
    4. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Anandamayee Majumdar & Stephen M. Miller, 2012. "Was the Recent Downturn in US GDP Predictable?," Working papers 2012-38, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics, revised Dec 2013.
    5. Shaun P Vahey & Elizabeth C Wakerly, 2013. "Moving towards probability forecasting," BIS Papers chapters,in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Globalisation and inflation dynamics in Asia and the Pacific, volume 70, pages 3-8 Bank for International Settlements.
    6. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Renee van Eyden & Kirsten Thompson & Anandamayee Majumdar, 2015. "Comparing the Forecasting Ability of Financial Conditions Indices: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 201517, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

  4. Orrell, David & McSharry, Patrick, 2009. "System economics: Overcoming the pitfalls of forecasting models via a multidisciplinary approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 734-743, October.

    Cited by:

    1. Prasad, Ravita D. & Bansal, R.C. & Raturi, Atul, 2014. "Multi-faceted energy planning: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 686-699.
    2. Derbyshire, James & Wright, George, 2017. "Augmenting the intuitive logics scenario planning method for a more comprehensive analysis of causation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 254-266.
    3. Jan Kwakkel & Gönenç Yücel, 2014. "An Exploratory Analysis of the Dutch Electricity System in Transition," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 5(4), pages 670-685, December.
    4. Roberto Savona & Marika Vezzoli, 2015. "Fitting and Forecasting Sovereign Defaults using Multiple Risk Signals," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 77(1), pages 66-92, February.
    5. Makridakis, Spyros & Taleb, Nassim, 2009. "Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 716-733, October.
    6. David Orrell, 2017. "A Quantum Theory of Money and Value, Part 2: The Uncertainty Principle," Economic Thought, World Economics Association, vol. 6(2), pages 14-26, September.
    7. -, 2011. "An assessment of the economic impact of climate change on the tourism sector In Barbados," Sede Subregional de la CEPAL para el Caribe (Estudios e Investigaciones) 38602, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    8. Arvydas Jadevicius & Brian Sloan & Andrew Brown, 2013. "Property Market Modelling and Forecasting: A Case for Simplicity," ERES eres2013_10, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    9. Dohnal, Mirko, 2016. "Complex biofuels related scenarios generated by qualitative reasoning under severe information shortages: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 676-684.
    10. Makridakis, Spyros & Hogarth, Robin M. & Gaba, Anil, 2009. "Forecasting and uncertainty in the economic and business world," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 794-812, October.
    11. Arora Siddharth & Little Max A. & McSharry Patrick E., 2013. "Nonlinear and nonparametric modeling approaches for probabilistic forecasting of the US gross national product," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 17(4), pages 395-420, September.
    12. Wright, George & Goodwin, Paul, 2009. "Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability: Enhancing the scenario method," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 813-825, October.
    13. Olga Kiuila, 2011. "Interactions between trade and environmental policies in the Czech economy," Working Papers 2011-16, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
    14. Zanoli, Raffaele & Gambelli, Danilo & Vairo, Daniela, 2012. "Scenarios of the organic food market in Europe," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 41-57.

  5. Taylor, James W. & de Menezes, Lilian M. & McSharry, Patrick E., 2006. "A comparison of univariate methods for forecasting electricity demand up to a day ahead," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 1-16.

    Cited by:

    1. Ohtsuka, Yoshihiro & Oga, Takashi & Kakamu, Kazuhiko, 2010. "Forecasting electricity demand in Japan: A Bayesian spatial autoregressive ARMA approach," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(11), pages 2721-2735, November.
    2. Dutta, Goutam & Mitra, Krishnendranath, 2015. "Dynamic Pricing of Electricity: A Survey of Related Research," IIMA Working Papers WP2015-08-03, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
    3. Taylor, James W. & Snyder, Ralph D., 2012. "Forecasting intraday time series with multiple seasonal cycles using parsimonious seasonal exponential smoothing," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 40(6), pages 748-757.
    4. D J Pedregal & P C Young, 2008. "Development of improved adaptive approaches to electricity demand forecasting," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 59(8), pages 1066-1076, August.
    5. Barrow, Devon & Kourentzes, Nikolaos, 2018. "The impact of special days in call arrivals forecasting: A neural network approach to modelling special days," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 264(3), pages 967-977.
    6. Cho, Haeran & Goude, Yannig & Brossat, Xavier & Yao, Qiwei, 2013. "Modeling and forecasting daily electricity load curves: a hybrid approach," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 49634, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    7. Reisen, Valdério A. & Zamprogno, Bartolomeu & Palma, Wilfredo & Arteche, Josu, 2014. "A semiparametric approach to estimate two seasonal fractional parameters in the SARFIMA model," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 1-17.
    8. Olga Y. Uritskaya & Vadim M. Uritsky, 2015. "Predictability of price movements in deregulated electricity markets," Papers 1505.08117, arXiv.org.
    9. Shakouri, Mahmoud & Lee, Hyun Woo & Kim, Yong-Woo, 2017. "A probabilistic portfolio-based model for financial valuation of community solar," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 709-726.
    10. Safiullah, Hameed, 2011. "Evaluation of Grid Level Impacts of Electric Vehicles," MPRA Paper 58517, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Tanrisever, Fehmi & Derinkuyu, Kursad & Heeren, Michael, 2013. "Forecasting electricity infeed for distribution system networks: An analysis of the Dutch case," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 247-257.
    12. Eran Raviv & Kees E. Bouwman & Dick van Dijk, 2013. "Forecasting Day-Ahead Electricity Prices: Utilizing Hourly Prices," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 13-068/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    13. Cancelo, José Ramón & Espasa, Antoni & Grafe, Rosmarie, 2008. "Forecasting the electricity load from one day to one week ahead for the Spanish system operator," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 588-602.
    14. Bassamzadeh, Nastaran & Ghanem, Roger, 2017. "Multiscale stochastic prediction of electricity demand in smart grids using Bayesian networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 369-380.
    15. Pielow, Amy & Sioshansi, Ramteen & Roberts, Matthew C., 2012. "Modeling short-run electricity demand with long-term growth rates and consumer price elasticity in commercial and industrial sectors," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 533-540.
    16. Rubin, Ofir D. & Babcock, Bruce A., 2011. "A novel approach for modeling deregulated electricity markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(5), pages 2711-2721, May.
    17. Zhongwen Li & Chuanzhi Zang & Peng Zeng & Haibin Yu, 2016. "Combined Two-Stage Stochastic Programming and Receding Horizon Control Strategy for Microgrid Energy Management Considering Uncertainty," Energies, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 9(7), pages 1-16, June.
    18. Taylor, James W., 2006. "Density forecasting for the efficient balancing of the generation and consumption of electricity," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 707-724.
    19. Kim, Myung Suk, 2013. "Modeling special-day effects for forecasting intraday electricity demand," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 230(1), pages 170-180.
    20. Sergey Voronin & Jarmo Partanen, 2013. "Price Forecasting in the Day-Ahead Energy Market by an Iterative Method with Separate Normal Price and Price Spike Frameworks," Energies, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 6(11), pages 1-24, November.
    21. Batalla-Bejerano, Joan & Costa-Campi, Maria Teresa & Trujillo-Baute, Elisa, 2016. "Collateral effects of liberalisation: Metering, losses, load profiles and cost settlement in Spain’s electricity system," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 421-431.
    22. Uritskaya, Olga Y. & Uritsky, Vadim M., 2015. "Predictability of price movements in deregulated electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 72-81.
    23. Bakhat, Mohcine & Rosselló, Jaume, 2011. "Estimation of tourism-induced electricity consumption: The case study of Balearics Islands, Spain," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 437-444, May.
    24. -, 2011. "An assessment of the economic impact of climate change on the tourism sector In Barbados," Sede Subregional de la CEPAL para el Caribe (Estudios e Investigaciones) 38602, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    25. Seunghyoung Ryu & Jaekoo Noh & Hongseok Kim, 2016. "Deep Neural Network Based Demand Side Short Term Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 10(1), pages 1-20, December.
    26. Eichler Michael & Grothe Oliver & Tuerk Dennis & Manner Hans, 2012. "Modeling spike occurrences in electricity spot prices for forecasting," Research Memorandum 029, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
    27. Kohler, M. & Blond, N. & Clappier, A., 2016. "A city scale degree-day method to assess building space heating energy demands in Strasbourg Eurometropolis (France)," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 40-54.
    28. Rallapalli, Srinivasa Rao & Ghosh, Sajal, 2012. "Forecasting monthly peak demand of electricity in India—A critique," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 516-520.
    29. Soares, Lacir J. & Medeiros, Marcelo C., 2008. "Modeling and forecasting short-term electricity load: A comparison of methods with an application to Brazilian data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 630-644.
    30. Chan, Kam Fong & Gray, Philip & van Campen, Bart, 2008. "A new approach to characterizing and forecasting electricity price volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 728-743.
    31. Deb, Chirag & Zhang, Fan & Yang, Junjing & Lee, Siew Eang & Shah, Kwok Wei, 2017. "A review on time series forecasting techniques for building energy consumption," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 902-924.
    32. Wang, Chi-hsiang & Grozev, George & Seo, Seongwon, 2012. "Decomposition and statistical analysis for regional electricity demand forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 313-325.
    33. Niematallah Elamin & Mototsugu Fukushige, 2017. "Modeling and Forecasting Hourly Electricity Demand by SARIMAX with Interactions," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business 17-28, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics and Osaka School of International Public Policy (OSIPP).
    34. Taylor, James W., 2010. "Exponentially weighted methods for forecasting intraday time series with multiple seasonal cycles," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 627-646, October.
    35. Magnano, L. & Boland, J.W., 2007. "Generation of synthetic sequences of electricity demand: Application in South Australia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 32(11), pages 2230-2243.
    36. Liang, Xin & Hong, Tianzhen & Shen, Geoffrey Qiping, 2016. "Improving the accuracy of energy baseline models for commercial buildings with occupancy data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 247-260.
    37. Safiullah, Hameed, 2011. "Evaluation of Grid Level Impacts of Electric Vehicles," MPRA Paper 59175, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    38. Paraschiv, Florentina & Erni, David & Pietsch, Ralf, 2014. "The impact of renewable energies on EEX day-ahead electricity prices," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 196-210.
    39. Rafal Weron, 2006. "Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Loads and Prices: A Statistical Approach," HSC Books, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology, number hsbook0601.
    40. Trapero, Juan R. & Pedregal, Diego J., 2009. "Frequency domain methods applied to forecasting electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 727-735, September.
    41. Goutam Dutta & Krishnendranath Mitra, 2017. "A literature review on dynamic pricing of electricity," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 68(10), pages 1131-1145, October.
    42. Hahn, Heiko & Meyer-Nieberg, Silja & Pickl, Stefan, 2009. "Electric load forecasting methods: Tools for decision making," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 199(3), pages 902-907, December.
    43. Taylor, James W., 2010. "Triple seasonal methods for short-term electricity demand forecasting," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 204(1), pages 139-152, July.
    44. Dordonnat, V. & Koopman, S.J. & Ooms, M. & Dessertaine, A. & Collet, J., 2008. "An hourly periodic state space model for modelling French national electricity load," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 566-587.
    45. Rotger, G.P. & Franses, Ph.H.B.F., 2006. "Forecasting high-frequency electricity demand with a diffusion index model," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2006-38, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
    46. Miloš Božić & Miloš Stojanović & Zoran Stajić & Dragan Tasić, 2013. "A New Two-Stage Approach to Short Term Electrical Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 6(4), pages 1-19, April.
    47. George P. Papaioannou & Christos Dikaiakos & Anargyros Dramountanis & Panagiotis G. Papaioannou, 2016. "Analysis and Modeling for Short- to Medium-Term Load Forecasting Using a Hybrid Manifold Learning Principal Component Model and Comparison with Classical Statistical Models (SARIMAX, Exponential Smoot," Energies, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 9(8), pages 1-40, August.
    48. Walter, Travis & Price, Phillip N. & Sohn, Michael D., 2014. "Uncertainty estimation improves energy measurement and verification procedures," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 230-236.
    49. Motlagh, Omid & Paevere, Phillip & Hong, Tang Sai & Grozev, George, 2015. "Analysis of household electricity consumption behaviours: Impact of domestic electricity generation," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 270(C), pages 165-178.
    50. Silva, Hendrigo Batista da & Santiago, Leonardo P., 2018. "On the trade-off between real-time pricing and the social acceptability costs of demand response," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 1513-1521.
    51. Taylor, James W., 2008. "An evaluation of methods for very short-term load forecasting using minute-by-minute British data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 645-658.
    52. Espasa, Antoni & Cancelo, José Ramón & Grafe, Rosmarie, 2007. "Forecasting from one day to one week ahead for the Spanish system operator," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws078418, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    53. Amaral, Luiz Felipe & Souza, Reinaldo Castro & Stevenson, Maxwell, 2008. "A smooth transition periodic autoregressive (STPAR) model for short-term load forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 603-615.
    54. Liu, Da & Wang, Jilong & Wang, Hui, 2015. "Short-term wind speed forecasting based on spectral clustering and optimised echo state networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 599-608.

More information

Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.

Statistics

Access and download statistics for all items

Corrections

All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. For general information on how to correct material on RePEc, see these instructions.

To update listings or check citations waiting for approval, Patrick Eugene McSharry should log into the RePEc Author Service.

To make corrections to the bibliographic information of a particular item, find the technical contact on the abstract page of that item. There, details are also given on how to add or correct references and citations.

To link different versions of the same work, where versions have a different title, use this form. Note that if the versions have a very similar title and are in the author's profile, the links will usually be created automatically.

Please note that most corrections can take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.