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WIFO-Konjunkturszenario: Scharfer, aber im besten Fall kurzer Einbruch der Konjunktur infolge der Coronavirus-Pandemie


  • Stefan Ederer


Die Coronavirus-Pandemie belastet derzeit die internationale und österreichische Konjunktur. Im 1. Halbjahr 2020 ist weltweit mit deutlichen Einbußen in der Wirtschaftsleistung zu rechnen. Die Auswirkungen hängen wesentlich davon ab, wie lange und in welchem Ausmaß die Maßnahmen zur Eindämmung der Virusübertragung in Kraft bleiben. Im gegenwärtigen Umfeld kann daher nur in Szenarien gerechnet werden. Wenn die aktuellen Maßnahmen bis Ende April in Kraft bleiben, im Mai allmählich aufgehoben werden und sich die Lage im Sommer normalisiert, dürfte die österreichische Wirtschaft 2020 um 2,5% schrumpfen.

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  • Stefan Ederer, 2020. "WIFO-Konjunkturszenario: Scharfer, aber im besten Fall kurzer Einbruch der Konjunktur infolge der Coronavirus-Pandemie," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 65840, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:wfo:wstudy:65840
    Note: With English abstract.

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    Cited by:

    1. Josef Baumgartner & Jürgen Bierbaumer-Polly & Sandra Bilek-Steindl & Thomas Leoni & Christine Mayrhuber & Stefan Schiman, 2020. "Abschwächung der Konjunktur im Jahresverlauf 2019. Die österreichische Wirtschaft im Jahr 2019," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 93(4), pages 285-298, April.

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