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Impact Of Government Spending On Inflation In Asian Emerging Economies: Evidence From India, China, And Indonesia

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  • TAI DANG NGUYEN

    (Crawford School of Public Policy, J.G. Crawford Building, #132 Lennox Crossing, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, 0200, Australia)

Abstract

This paper investigates the long-run and short-run impacts of government spending on inflation in three Asian emerging economies of India, China and Indonesia by applying the cointegration and Vector Error Correction Model to time series data from 1970 to 2010. The results confirm a cointegrating causal link between government spending and inflation in the long run in these countries, regardless of their institutional governance differences. In the short run, government spending (as a percentage of GDP) appears to have a negative impact on inflation in China, while a positive impact in Indonesia and India. The implication is that governments of emerging economies should be prudent with their decisions on government spending.

Suggested Citation

  • Tai Dang Nguyen, 2019. "Impact Of Government Spending On Inflation In Asian Emerging Economies: Evidence From India, China, And Indonesia," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 64(05), pages 1171-1200, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:serxxx:v:64:y:2019:i:05:n:s0217590816500338
    DOI: 10.1142/S0217590816500338
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    Cited by:

    1. Kshitiz Mishra & Partha Chatterjee, 2021. "Monetary Business Cycle Accounting Analysis of Indian Economy," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 19(3), pages 471-491, September.
    2. Johnbosco Chukwuma Ozigbu, 2023. "Responsiveness of Headline Inflation to the Dynamics of Monetary Aggregates in Nigeria: A Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) Approach," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 7(9), pages 1701-1711, September.
    3. Fatih Chellai, 2021. "What can SVAR models tell us about the impact of Public Expenditure Shocks on macroeconomic variables in algeria? A Slight Hint to the COVID-19 Pandemic," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 21(2), pages 21-37, December.

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