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Badania koniunktury IRG SGH. Historia równoległa [Business Cycle Research of RIED (WSE). Parallel history]

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  • Małgorzata Kokocińska

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Abstract

Upływ czasu związany z wprowadzeniem i rozwinięciem badań koniunktury metodą testu koniunkturalnego w Polsce skłania do syntezy i podsumowania dotychczasowych rezultatów badawczych. Jednocześnie warto przypomnieć historię implementacji tej metody badawczej w warunkach bardzo wczesnej fazy gospodarki rynkowej, zarówno z organizacyjnego jak i badawczego punktu widzenia. Pierwsze doświadczenia sięgają bowiem końca lat 80. ubiegłego wieku. W tym czasie pierwsze eksperymenty z tą nową w warunkach polskiej gospodarki metodą rozpoczęły dwie uczelnie: Szkoła Główna Handlowa i ówczesna Akademia Ekonomiczna w Poznaniu. Jak pokazuje doświadczenie, drogi te okazały się odmienne. Pierwsza, reprezentowana przez Instytut Rozwoju Gospodarczego, prowadziła do powstania i utrzymania ośrodka badawczego z własną bazą danych. Druga, reprezentowana przez Katedrę Mikroekonomii, polegała na przekazaniu własnych doświadczeń Głównemu Urzędowi Statystycznemu i współpracy z tym ośrodkiem. Artykuł skupia się na historii wprowadzenia badań koniunktury metodą testu koniunkturalnego do GUS, traktując to jako równoległą ścieżkę wobec koncepcji budowania własnego ośrodka badawczego. W końcowej części podkreśla się wady i zalety obu rozwiązań. [Time passing associated with the introduction and development of business survey in Poland has led to the synthesis and summary of existing research results. At the same time it is worth recalling the history of the implementation of the business tendency surveys in a very early stage of the market economy, from both an organizational and research points of view. The first experience dates back to the late 80s of the last century. At that time, the first experiments with the new method in conditions of the Polish economy began at two universities: Warsaw School of Economics and University of Economics in Poznań. As the experience shows, these ways turned out to be different. The first, represented by the Research Institute for Economic Development (RIED), led to the creation and maintenance of a research center with its own database. The second, represented by the Microeconomic Department, was to transfer its own experiences to the Central Statistical Office (CSO) and cooperation with it. The article focuses on the history of the introduction of the business survey method to the Central Statistical Office, treating it as a parallel track to the concept of building its own research center. In the final section the advantages and disadvantages of both ways are presented.]

Suggested Citation

  • Małgorzata Kokocińska, 2012. "Badania koniunktury IRG SGH. Historia równoległa [Business Cycle Research of RIED (WSE). Parallel history]," Prace i Materiały, Instytut Rozwoju Gospodarczego (SGH), vol. 90(3), pages 9-35.
  • Handle: RePEc:wsd:irgpim:v:90:y:2012:i:3:p:9-35
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    badania koniunktury; metoda testu koniunkturalnego; CIRET; GUS; IRG SGH; historia badań w Polsce [business and consumer surveys; CIRET; CSO; RIED WSE; history of research in Poland ];

    JEL classification:

    • B41 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Economic Methodology - - - Economic Methodology
    • C38 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Classification Methdos; Cluster Analysis; Principal Components; Factor Analysis
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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