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Chapter 5: Actual and Counterfactual Smoking Prevalence Rates in the U.S. Population via Microsimulation

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  • Jihyoun Jeon
  • Rafael Meza
  • Martin Krapcho
  • Lauren D. Clarke
  • Jeff Byrne
  • David T. Levy

Abstract

The smoking history generator (SHG) developed by the National Cancer Institute simulates individual life/smoking histories that serve as inputs for the Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET) lung cancer models. In this chapter, we review the SHG inputs, describe its outputs, and outline the methodology behind it. As an example, we use the SHG to simulate individual life histories for individuals born between 1890 and 1984 for each of the CISNET smoking scenarios and use those simulated histories to compute the corresponding smoking prevalence over the period 1975–2000.

Suggested Citation

  • Jihyoun Jeon & Rafael Meza & Martin Krapcho & Lauren D. Clarke & Jeff Byrne & David T. Levy, 2012. "Chapter 5: Actual and Counterfactual Smoking Prevalence Rates in the U.S. Population via Microsimulation," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(s1), pages 51-68, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:32:y:2012:i:s1:p:s51-s68
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01775.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Wolfgang F. Heidenreich & E. Georg Luebeck & Suresh H. Moolgavkar, 1997. "Some Properties of the Hazard Function of the Two‐Mutation Clonal Expansion Model," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 17(3), pages 391-399, June.
    2. Marjorie A. Rosenberg & Eric J. Feuer & Binbing Yu & Jiafeng Sun & S. Jane Henley & Thomas G Shanks & Christy M. Anderson & Pamela M. McMahon & Michael J. Thun & David M. Burns, 2012. "Chapter 3: Cohort Life Tables by Smoking Status, Removing Lung Cancer as a Cause of Death," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(s1), pages 25-38, August.
    3. William D. Hazelton & Jihyoun Jeon & Rafael Meza & Suresh H. Moolgavkar, 2012. "Chapter 8: The FHCRC Lung Cancer Model," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(s1), pages 99-116, August.
    4. Theodore R. Holford & Lauren Clark, 2012. "Chapter 4: Development of the Counterfactual Smoking Histories Used to Assess the Effects of Tobacco Control," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(s1), pages 39-50, August.
    5. William J. McCarthy & Rafael Meza & Jihyoun Jeon & Suresh H. Moolgavkar, 2012. "Chapter 6: Lung Cancer in Never Smokers: Epidemiology and Risk Prediction Models," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(s1), pages 69-84, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. F. W. Schultz & R. Boer & H. J. de Koning, 2012. "Chapter 7: Description of MISCAN‐Lung, the Erasmus MC Lung Cancer Microsimulation Model for Evaluating Cancer Control Interventions," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(s1), pages 85-98, August.
    2. Theodore R. Holford & Keita Ebisu & Lisa McKay & Cheongeun Oh & Tongzhang Zheng, 2012. "Chapter 12: Yale Lung Cancer Model," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(s1), pages 151-165, August.
    3. Eric J. Feuer & David T. Levy & William J. McCarthy, 2012. "Chapter 1: The Impact of the Reduction in Tobacco Smoking on U.S. Lung Cancer Mortality, 1975–2000: An Introduction to the Problem," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(s1), pages 6-13, August.
    4. William D. Hazelton & Jihyoun Jeon & Rafael Meza & Suresh H. Moolgavkar, 2012. "Chapter 8: The FHCRC Lung Cancer Model," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(s1), pages 99-116, August.

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