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Recent advances in permafrost modelling

Author

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  • Daniel Riseborough
  • Nikolay Shiklomanov
  • Bernd Etzelmüller
  • Stephan Gruber
  • Sergei Marchenko

Abstract

This paper provides a review of permafrost modelling advances, primarily since the 2003 permafrost conference in Zürich, Switzerland, with an emphasis on spatial permafrost models, in both arctic and high mountain environments. Models are categorised according to temporal, thermal and spatial criteria, and their approach to defining the relationship between climate, site surface conditions and permafrost status. The most significant recent advances include the expanding application of permafrost thermal models within spatial models, application of transient numerical thermal models within spatial models and incorporation of permafrost directly within global circulation model (GCM) land surface schemes. Future challenges for permafrost modelling will include establishing the appropriate level of integration required for accurate simulation of permafrost‐climate interaction within GCMs, the integration of environmental change such as treeline migration into permafrost response to climate change projections, and parameterising the effects of sub‐grid scale variability in surface processes and properties on small‐scale (large area) spatial models. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel Riseborough & Nikolay Shiklomanov & Bernd Etzelmüller & Stephan Gruber & Sergei Marchenko, 2008. "Recent advances in permafrost modelling," Permafrost and Periglacial Processes, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 19(2), pages 137-156, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:perpro:v:19:y:2008:i:2:p:137-156
    DOI: 10.1002/ppp.615
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    Cited by:

    1. Alain Lubini Tshumuka & Abdelkader Krimi & Musandji Fuamba, 2022. "Modeling Heat Transfer through Permafrost Soil Subjected to Seasonal Freeze-Thaw," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-19, October.
    2. Madeleine C. Garibaldi & Philip P. Bonnaventure & Scott F. Lamoureux, 2021. "Utilizing the TTOP model to understand spatial permafrost temperature variability in a High Arctic landscape, Cape Bounty, Nunavut, Canada," Permafrost and Periglacial Processes, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 32(1), pages 19-34, January.
    3. Julia Bosiö & Margareta Johansson & Terry Callaghan & Bernt Johansen & Torben Christensen, 2012. "Future vegetation changes in thawing subarctic mires and implications for greenhouse gas exchange—a regional assessment," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 115(2), pages 379-398, November.
    4. Yanyu Zhang & Shuying Zang & Miao Li & Xiangjin Shen & Yue Lin, 2021. "Spatial Distribution of Permafrost in the Xing’an Mountains of Northeast China from 2001 to 2018," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-13, October.
    5. Miao Yu & Nadezhda Pavlova & Changlei Dai & Xianfeng Guo & Xiaohong Zhang & Shuai Gao & Yiru Wei, 2023. "Simulation and Analysis of the Dynamic Characteristics of Groundwater in Taliks in the Eruu Area, Central Yakutia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-17, June.

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