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Modeling and Stability Analysis of the Dynamics of Malaria Disease Transmission with Some Control Strategies

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  • Alemzewde Ayalew
  • Yezbalem Molla
  • Amsalu Woldegbreal

Abstract

In this study, we proposed and analyzed a nonlinear deterministic mathematical model of malaria transmission dynamics. In addition to the previous approaches, we incorporated the class of aware people and other control measures. We established the wellposedness of the model, and the asymptotic behavior of the solutions is rigorously studied depending on the basic reproduction number R0. The model system admits two equilibrium points: disease‐free and disease‐persistent equilibrium points. The analytical result of the model system revealed that the disease‐free equilibrium point is both locally as well as globally asymptotically stable whenever R0 1. Moreover, the forward bifurcation phenomenon of the model system for R0 = 1 was analyzed by using center manifold theory. A sensitivity analysis of the basic reproduction number was performed to identify parameters that will cause to trigger the transmission of malaria disease and should be targeted by control strategies. Then, the model was extended to the optimal control problem, with the use of three time‐dependent controls, namely, preventive measures(treated bednets and indoor residual spraying), continuous awareness campaigns to susceptible individuals, and treatment for infected individuals. By using Pontryan’s maximum principle, necessary conditions for the transmission of malaria disease were derived. Numerical simulations are illustrated by using MATLAB ode45 to validate the theoretical results of the model. The numerical findings of the optimal model suggested that integrated control strategies are better than a sole intervention to eliminate malaria disease.

Suggested Citation

  • Alemzewde Ayalew & Yezbalem Molla & Amsalu Woldegbreal, 2024. "Modeling and Stability Analysis of the Dynamics of Malaria Disease Transmission with Some Control Strategies," Abstract and Applied Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2024(1).
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:jnlaaa:v:2024:y:2024:i:1:n:8837744
    DOI: 10.1155/2024/8837744
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Alemzewde Ayalew & Yezbalem Molla & Tenaw Tilahun & Tadele Tesfa & Anum Shafiq, 2023. "Mathematical Model and Analysis on the Impacts of Vaccination and Treatment in the Control of the COVID-19 Pandemic with Optimal Control," Journal of Applied Mathematics, Hindawi, vol. 2023, pages 1-15, March.
    2. Hai-Feng Huo & Guang-Ming Qiu, 2014. "Stability of a Mathematical Model of Malaria Transmission with Relapse," Abstract and Applied Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2014(1).
    3. Alemzewde Ayalew & Yezbalem Molla & Tenaw Tilahun & Tadele Tesfa, 2023. "Mathematical Model and Analysis on the Impacts of Vaccination and Treatment in the Control of the COVID‐19 Pandemic with Optimal Control," Journal of Applied Mathematics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2023(1).
    4. Hai-Feng Huo & Guang-Ming Qiu, 2014. "Stability of a Mathematical Model of Malaria Transmission with Relapse," Abstract and Applied Analysis, Hindawi, vol. 2014, pages 1-9, February.
    5. Malik Muhammad Ibrahim & Muhammad Ahmad Kamran & Malik Muhammad Naeem Mannan & Sangil Kim & Il Hyo Jung, 2020. "Impact of Awareness to Control Malaria Disease: A Mathematical Modeling Approach," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2020, pages 1-13, October.
    6. Ghosh, M. & Olaniyi, S. & Obabiyi, O.S., 2020. "Mathematical analysis of reinfection and relapse in malaria dynamics," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 373(C).
    7. repec:plo:pone00:0172465 is not listed on IDEAS
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