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Comparison of selective hedging and options strategies in cattle feedlot risk management

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  • Ted C. Schroeder
  • Marvin L. Hayenga

Abstract

A cattle feedlot marketing simulation model was developed and used to evaluate the performance of various feedlot marketing strategies. The marketing analysis included corn, feeder cattle, and fed cattle integrated marketing alternatives. A variety of strategies were compared including hedging and put option purchasing as signaled via profit margins or price forecasts. The results indicate that cattle feeders could have historically increased profitability and decreased the variability of profits through selective marketing by using either profit margins or price forecasts to signal market positions as compared to cash marketing strategies. In addition, several strategies were found that stochastically dominated cash marketing.

Suggested Citation

  • Ted C. Schroeder & Marvin L. Hayenga, 1988. "Comparison of selective hedging and options strategies in cattle feedlot risk management," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(2), pages 141-156, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:8:y:1988:i:2:p:141-156
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    Cited by:

    1. Mark R. Manfredo. & Raymond M. Leuthold, 1999. "Market Risk Measurement and the Cattle Feeding Margin: An Application of Value-at-Risk," Finance 9908002, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Power, Gabriel J. & Vedenov, Dmitry V., 2008. "The Shape of the Optimal Hedge Ratio: Modeling Joint Spot-Futures Prices using an Empirical Copula-GARCH Model," 2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri 37609, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    3. McKendree, Melissa G.S. & Tonsor, Glynn T. & Schulz, Lee L., 2021. "Management of Multiple Sources of Risk in Livestock Production," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 53(1), pages 75-93, February.
    4. Lim, Terence & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C. & Scholes, Myron S., 2006. "The Derivatives Sourcebook," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(5–6), pages 365-572, April.
    5. Purcell, Wayne D., 1991. "Tax Treatment of Trade in Cattle Futures: Possible Implications to Market Efficiency and Price Stability," Staff Papers 232396, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics.
    6. Fernandez-Perez, Adrian & Frijns, Bart & Gafiatullina, Ilnara & Tourani-Rad, Alireza, 2022. "Profit margin hedging in the New Zealand dairy farming industry," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    7. Manfredo, Mark R. & Leuthold, Raymond M., 1999. "Measuring Market Risk Of The Cattle Feeding Margin: An Application Of Value-At-Risk Analysis," 1999 Annual meeting, August 8-11, Nashville, TN 21628, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    8. Ruan, Qingsong & Cui, Hao & Fan, Liming, 2020. "China’s soybean crush spread: Nonlinear analysis based on MF-DCCA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 554(C).

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