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Public policy and financial stability: The impact of PCA and TARP on U.S. bank non‐performing loans

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  • Chunxia Jiang
  • Angelos Kanas
  • Philip Molyneux

Abstract

This study explores the implications of prompt corrective action and the Troubled Asset Relief Program on the behaviour of non‐performing loans (NPLs) and real estate non‐performing loans (RELs) in the United States over 1984–2015 using a Markov switching framework. We find that NPLs and RELs exhibit pronounced episodic behaviour switching between non‐stationary and stationary regimes. Prompt corrective action and the Troubled Asset Relief Program have a significant impact on banking sector stability by influencing the probability of switching from non‐stationary regimes to stationary regimes and by reducing the level of NPLs and RELs. These results are robust to various model specifications and have important implications for bank regulation as well as for the formulation of macro stress testing.

Suggested Citation

  • Chunxia Jiang & Angelos Kanas & Philip Molyneux, 2018. "Public policy and financial stability: The impact of PCA and TARP on U.S. bank non‐performing loans," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(4), pages 376-392, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:ijfiec:v:23:y:2018:i:4:p:376-392
    DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.1622
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    Cited by:

    1. Kemal Kozarić & Emina Žunić Dželihodžić, 2020. "Effects of Macroeconomic Environment on Non-Performing Loans and Financial Stability: Case of Bosnia and Herzegovina," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(2), pages 5-17.
    2. Habib Ur Rahman & Adam Arian & John Sands, 2023. "Does Fiscal Consolidation Affect Non-Performing Loans? Global Evidence from Heavily Indebted Countries (HICs)," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-15, September.
    3. Amila Žunić & Kemal Kozarić & Emina Žunić Dželihodžić, 2021. "Non-Performing Loan Determinants and Impact of COVID-19: Case of Bosnia and Herzegovina," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 10(3), pages 5-22.

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