IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/agribz/v7y1991i6p515-522.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A short-run forecasting model for nitrogen fertilizer prices

Author

Listed:
  • Harry Vroomen

    (Agricultural Economist with the Resources and Technology Division, Economic Research Service, US Department of Agriculture)

Abstract

Regression and time-series analysis are integrated to develop a short-run price forecasting model for the retail prices of major nitrogen fertilizer materials. Time-series analysis is conducted to generate future values of the wholesale price of anhydrous ammonia, the source of nearly all nitrogen fertilizers used in the United States. These forecasts are incorporated as an explanatory variable into regression equations to forecast the retail prices of five nitrogen fertilizer materials for the spring, the peak demand season for fertilizer. Results show that this method can perform with reasonable accuracy for short-term forecasting purposes.

Suggested Citation

  • Harry Vroomen, 1991. "A short-run forecasting model for nitrogen fertilizer prices," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 7(6), pages 515-522.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:agribz:v:7:y:1991:i:6:p:515-522
    DOI: 10.1002/1520-6297(199111)7:6<515::AID-AGR2720070602>3.0.CO;2-R
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:agribz:v:7:y:1991:i:6:p:515-522. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1002/(ISSN)1520-6297 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.