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Negative Angebotsschocks treffen auf kräftige Konjunktur. Prognose für 2022 und 2023

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  • Stefan Schiman
  • Stefan Ederer

Abstract

Der Ukraine-Krieg führt neuerlich zu erheblichen negativen Angebotsschocks, die der heimischen Industrie keine Wertschöpfungszuwächse ermöglichen. Die Inflation bleibt länger hoch und dämpft das Wachstum des privaten Konsums. Das große Aufholpotential im Tourismus macht ihn heuer zur Stütze der Konjunktur. Insgesamt entfällt über die Hälfte des für 2022 prognostizierten Wirtschaftswachstums von 3,9% auf den Bereich Beherbergung und Gastronomie. Die Entwicklung auf dem Arbeitsmarkt bleibt günstig.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefan Schiman & Stefan Ederer, 2022. "Negative Angebotsschocks treffen auf kräftige Konjunktur. Prognose für 2022 und 2023," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 95(4), pages 215-230, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2022:i:4:p:215-230
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    Cited by:

    1. Klaus Friesenbichler & Werner Hölzl, 2022. "Unternehmensinvestitionen wachsen 2022 nur gedämpft. Ergebnisse der WIFO-Investitionsbefragung vom Frühjahr 2022," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 95(6), pages 369-377, June.

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    Keywords

    Konjunkturbericht; Konjunkturprognose;

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