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Weiterhin robustes Wachstum in den mittel- und südosteuropäischen Ländern, doch Höhepunkt scheint bereits überschritten

Author

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  • Vasily Astrov

    (The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies)

Abstract

Die jüngsten Statistiken deuten auf ein weiterhin robustes BIP-Wachstum in den meisten Ländern Mittel-, Ost- und Südosteuropas (MOSOEL) hin. Der Konjunkturhöhepunkt scheint allerdings bereits überschritten zu sein. Einerseits lässt die Dynamik der privaten Konsumnachfrage leicht nach, andererseits dämpft die Konjunkturabkühlung im Euro-Raum die Exportentwicklung vieler MOSOEL. Die Investitionen steigen weiterhin kräftig, getrieben in erster Linie von EU-Transfers an die EU-MOEL und von ausländischen Direktinvestitionen in den Westbalkanländern. Ein Wachstumseinbruch ist heuer nur in Rumänien und der Türkei zu erwarten – Ländern, deren Wirtschaft sich bislang in einem Zustand der Überhitzung befand.

Suggested Citation

  • Vasily Astrov, 2018. "Weiterhin robustes Wachstum in den mittel- und südosteuropäischen Ländern, doch Höhepunkt scheint bereits überschritten," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 91(7), pages 485-494, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2018:i:7:p:485-494
    Note: With English abstract.
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