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Kräftige Erholung der Weltwirtschaft. Mittelfristige Prognose bis 2015

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  • Stephan Schulmeister

Abstract

Nach der leichten Abschwächung 2011 als Folge einer restriktiven Fiskalpolitik dürfte sich das Wirtschaftswachstum in den Industrieländern ab 2012 wieder beschleunigen und im Durchschnitt 2009/2015 2,4% pro Jahr betragen. Wie in den vergangenen 20 Jahren wird das Wachstum in den USA (+2,7% pro Jahr) höher ausfallen als in der EU bzw. als in Japan (jeweils +1,9% pro Jahr). In den neuen EU-Ländern wird die Wirtschaft mit +3,7% pro Jahr merklich rascher expandieren als im Durchschnitt der EU 27 (+2,2% pro Jahr). China und Indien werden weiterhin die höchsten Zuwachsraten verzeichnen (+8,9% bzw. +8,6% pro Jahr). In den anderen Entwicklungs- und Schwellenländer dürfte das BIP bis 2015 um etwa 5% pro Jahr zunehmen.

Suggested Citation

  • Stephan Schulmeister, 2011. "Kräftige Erholung der Weltwirtschaft. Mittelfristige Prognose bis 2015," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 84(1), pages 37-48, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2011:i:1:p:37-48
    Note: With English abstract.
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