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Nachhaltige Dämpfung der Weltwirtschaftsdynamik als Folge der Finanzkrise. Mittelfristige Prognose der Weltwirtschaft bis 2013

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  • Stephan Schulmeister

Abstract

Zwischen 2008 und 2013 dürften der Welthandel um durchschnittlich 5,4% und das Welt-BIP um 3,2% pro Jahr zunehmen, merklich langsamer als in der Periode 2002/2008. Infolge der weltweiten Finanzkrise wird sich die Weltwirtschaft erst ab 2011 spürbar erholen. Aus dem gleichen Grund wird das Wirtschaftswachstum in den Industrieländern besonders geringer ausfallen, die prognostizierte Wachstumsrate von 1,5% pro Jahr wäre die niedrigste einer Fünfjahresperiode seit dem Zweiten Weltkrieg. In den USA, in Japan, Deutschland, Großbritannien und Italien dürfte das BIP bis 2013 noch schwächer wachsen, nämlich um nur knapp 1% pro Jahr.

Suggested Citation

  • Stephan Schulmeister, 2009. "Nachhaltige Dämpfung der Weltwirtschaftsdynamik als Folge der Finanzkrise. Mittelfristige Prognose der Weltwirtschaft bis 2013," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 82(1), pages 37-48, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2009:i:1:p:37-48
    Note: With English abstract.
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