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Erdölverteuerung und Budgetkonsolidierung dämpfen Wirtschaftswachstum. Prognose für 2000 und 2001

Author

Listed:
  • Ewald Walterskirchen

    (WIFO)

Abstract

Der deutliche Anstieg der Erdölpreise und die rasche Budgetkonsolidierung werden das Wirtschaftswachstum im kommenden Jahr dämpfen. Nach einem kräftigen Konjunkturaufschwung 2000 (+3,5%) wird das BIP 2001 um nur noch 2,8% zunehmen. Der Preisauftrieb schwächt sich 2001 mit dem Abklingen der Erdölpreishausse ab, und die Arbeitslosenquote geht weiter deutlich zurück. Das angestrebte Budgetziel eines Nettodefizits der öffentlichen Haushalte von ¾% des BIP kann dank der forcierten Konsolidierungsmaßnahmen erreicht werden, allerdings wird die Abgabenquote spürbar steigen.

Suggested Citation

  • Ewald Walterskirchen, 2000. "Erdölverteuerung und Budgetkonsolidierung dämpfen Wirtschaftswachstum. Prognose für 2000 und 2001," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 73(10), pages 579-586, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:2000:i:10:p:579-586
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