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Export Recovery and Tax Reform Accelerating the Pace of Growth. Economic Outlook for 1999 and 2000

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  • Markus Marterbauer

    (WIFO)

Abstract

WIFO is upholding its forecast for real GDP growth in 1999 at 2.2 percent, unchanged since last March. Next year, growth is projected to accelerate to a rate of 2¾ percent. Exports and industrial activity have turned around at the beginning of the year and are now heading upward, confirming earlier expectations. Continued strength of domestic demand and reinforced labour market policy action will make for a noticeable decline in unemployment. Inflation should remain subdued, despite rising oil prices. The tax reform and higher family benefits, while adding to private disposable income next year, will drive up the general government deficit to 2½ percent of GDP.

Suggested Citation

  • Markus Marterbauer, 1999. "Export Recovery and Tax Reform Accelerating the Pace of Growth. Economic Outlook for 1999 and 2000," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 72(10), pages 679-680, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:1999:i:10:p:679-680
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    File URL: http://www.wifo.ac.at/wwa/pubid/8357
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    1. Siebert, Horst, 1999. "Some lessons from the Japanese bubble," Kiel Working Papers 919, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
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    Cited by:

    1. Markus Marterbauer, 2000. "Budgetary and Labour Market Policies Facing Major Challenges Despite Faster Growth. Economic Outlook for 1999 to 2001," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, pages 15-16.

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