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Allmähliche Erholung der Export- und Investitionskonjunktur. Prognose für 1996 und 1997

Author

Listed:
  • Markus Marterbauer

    (WIFO)

Abstract

Österreichs Wirtschaft wächst auf absehbare Zeit langsamer als im mittelfristigen Trend. Grund hiefür sind die verhaltene Auslandskonjunktur und dämpfende Nachfrageeffekte der europäischen Budgetkonsolidierung. Dennoch sind belebende Impulse vor allem vom Export zu erwarten. Der private Konsum im Inland wächst wegen knapperer Realeinkommen nur schwach. Auf dem Arbeitsmarkt zeichnet sich keine Besserung ab, die Beschäftigung wird auch 1997 noch sinken. Hingegen sollte die Leistungsbilanz mit deutlich geringerem Defizit abschließen und die Inflationsrate unter 2% verharren.

Suggested Citation

  • Markus Marterbauer, 1996. "Allmähliche Erholung der Export- und Investitionskonjunktur. Prognose für 1996 und 1997," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 69(7), pages 439-448, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:1996:i:7:p:439-448
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