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Sanfte Landung der Konjunktur in den westlichen Industriestaaten

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  • Fritz Breuss

Abstract

Der selbsttragende Aufschwung der internationalen Konjunktur hielt auch im Frühjahr 1989 an. Seine Haupttriebfeder sind die privaten Investitionen. Das Investitionsklima hat sich gefestigt, weil die Absatzerwartungen (besonders im Export), die Kapazitätsauslastung und damit die Erträge gestiegen sind und weil sich – in Europa – die Unternehmer mit strategischen Investitionen auf die Vollendung des EG-Binnenmarktes vorbereiten. Angesichts der Überhitzungsgefahr versucht eine restriktive Geldpolitik, die Inflationsbeschleunigung zu bremsen. Die Prognosen bis 1990 unterstellen eine "sanfte Landung" der Konjunktur, d. h. eine leichte Verlangsamung des Wirtschaftswachstums in der OECD insgesamt von 3,3% 1988 auf 2,5% 1990.

Suggested Citation

  • Fritz Breuss, 1989. "Sanfte Landung der Konjunktur in den westlichen Industriestaaten," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 62(6), pages 372-380, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:wfo:monber:y:1989:i:6:p:372-380
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