How Clear is the Crystal Ball?
Two salie nt features of growth forecasts are discussed. First, recessions generally arrive before the forecast. Slowdowns are predicted but forecasters are unable or unwilling to call recessions. Second, private sector forecasts tend to be similar to those of official agencies. Some tips for forecast users are provided.
Volume (Year): 2 (2001)
Issue (Month): 1 (January)
|Contact details of provider:|| |
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wej:wldecn:43. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Ed Jones)
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.