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Price Stickiness in US-Corn Market: Evidence from Dsge-Var Simulation

Author

Listed:
  • Shobande Olatunji A.

    (Business School, University of Aberdeen, UK)

  • Shodipe Oladimeji Tomiwa

    (Kansas University, USA)

Abstract

This study examines price stickiness in the United States (US) corn market using annual series data, on the dollar price of corn per bushel, obtained from the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) and Federal Reserve Bank of Saint Louis (FRED), between 1930 and 2017. The study implemented the Calvo price stick model based on an agent in a general equilibrium and New Keynesian type, simulated using DSGE-VAR. The approach permits the indexing formula to include expected corn inflation rather than lagged inflation. The results show that corn price inflation only persists by 2% every trading year, resulting from changes in the immediate future corn-price inflation and output-gap, respectively. The shock to stochastic term only causes a partial decline in the corn price, converging at a future date with its long-run equilibrium. The experiment confirmed that corn price fluctuations are beyond the purview of the domestic economy, and any attempt to impose price policies will offset the price setting, creating further distortions and a wider gap in the corn yield. The study provides fresh insight into the Calvo price stick model of the New Keynesian type and its use to forecast agricultural outcomes.

Suggested Citation

  • Shobande Olatunji A. & Shodipe Oladimeji Tomiwa, 2021. "Price Stickiness in US-Corn Market: Evidence from Dsge-Var Simulation," Studia Universitatis „Vasile Goldis” Arad – Economics Series, Sciendo, vol. 31(2), pages 45-63, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:suvges:v:31:y:2021:i:2:p:45-63:n:3
    DOI: 10.2478/sues-2021-0008
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    Keywords

    supply and demand shock; policy responses; price stick; agricultural yield;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E0 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products

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