IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/voj/journl/v67y2020i4p465-489id670.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Are the Twin or Triple Deficits Hypotheses Applicable to Post-Communist Countries?

Author

Listed:
  • Hüseyin Şen
  • Ayşe Kaya

Abstract

This study examines the validity of the twin or triple deficits hypotheses using bootstrap panel Granger causality analysis and an annual panel dataset of six post-communist countries (Russia, Poland, Ukraine, Romania, the Czech Republic, and Hungary) during the period from 1994 to 2015. The results corroborate neither the validity of the twin deficits hypothesis nor its extended version, the triple deficits hypothesis, for any of the sample countries. In other words, we find no Granger causal relationship between budget deficits and external (trade or current account) deficits or among budget deficits, private savings-investment deficits, and external deficits in the countries examined. On the basis of these results, we reject the Keynesian view of the twin or triple deficits hypotheses. Rather, we confirm the Ricardian view. Keywords: Fiscal policy, Twin deficits, Triple deficits, Transition economies, Bootstrap panel Granger causality analysis. JEL: E60, F30, F32, H62.

Suggested Citation

  • Hüseyin Şen & Ayşe Kaya, 2020. "Are the Twin or Triple Deficits Hypotheses Applicable to Post-Communist Countries?," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 67(4), pages 465-489.
    • Handle: RePEc:voj:journl:v:67:y:2020:i:4:p:465-489:id:670
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://panoeconomicus.org/index.php/jorunal/article/view/670/611
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fiscal policy; Twin deficits; Triple deficits; Transition economies; Bootstrap panel Granger causality analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:voj:journl:v:67:y:2020:i:4:p:465-489:id:670. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ivana Horvat (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://panoeconomicus.org/index.php/jorunal/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.